Sha Tin · 2025-06-08 · 08:25

Race 7

Class 2 1400m Course C 8 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-08 was Class 2 over 1400m. LIGHT YEARS CHARM, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D Eustace, won by 1-1/2, with DANCING CODE second and YOUNG CHAMPION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.20.72

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	7	LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly XB 1.20.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D Eustace	Z Purton	D Eustace	7	121 lb	1.7	1-1/2
2	6	DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes	E C W Wong	C Fownes	2	114 lb	5.3	1-1/2
3	2	YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size	B Avdulla	J Size	4	134 lb	17.0	2
4	5	CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K L Man	K C Leung	K L Man	3	125 lb	8.4	2-1/2
5	8	MICKLEY Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · J Size	A Atzeni	J Size	1	119 lb	13.0	3
6	3	DROMBEG BANNER P N Wong · P C Ng	P N Wong	P C Ng	5	120 lb	10.0	4-1/4
7	4	INVINCIBLE SHIELD J Orman · K W Lui	J Orman	K W Lui	6	130 lb	15.0	8
8	1	HEALTHY HAPPY Led early B/TT L Ferraris · F C Lor	L Ferraris	F C Lor	8	135 lb	56.0	11-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25

The model's top pick LIGHT YEARS CHARM (38.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	7	LIGHT YEARS CHARM	38.6%	2.59	1	1.7
2	6	DANCING CODE	17.3%	5.77	2	5.3
3	8	MICKLEY	12.3%	8.12	5	13.0
4	2	YOUNG CHAMPION	11.0%	9.09	3	17.0
5	5	CHIU CHOW SPIRIT	9.4%	10.62	4	8.4
6	4	INVINCIBLE SHIELD	4.9%	20.35	7	15.0
7	3	DROMBEG BANNER	3.8%	26.51	6	10.0
8	1	HEALTHY HAPPY	2.6%	38.46	8	56.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 17

PLACE

2 30

6 15.5

7 12

QUINELLA

6,7 45.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 86

2,7 43

6,7 19

FORECAST

7,6 68

TIERCE

7,6,2 331

TRIO

2,6,7 123

FIRST 4

2,5,6,7 126

QUARTET

7,6,2,5 1,186

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

2/6 169.5

2/7 613

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