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Sha Tin · 2025-06-08 · 08:25

Race 2

Class 4 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-08 was Class 4 over 1200m. PERFECTDAY, ridden by K De Melo and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with WONDERSTAR second and LUNAR DASH third. The 2.0 favourite LUNAR DASH finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.08.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 PERFECTDAY 1.08.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · W Y So 1 12.0 SH
2 3 WONDERSTAR B J Orman · Y S Tsui 8 4.5 SH
3 5 LUNAR DASH Z Purton · M Newnham 4 2.0 N
4 6 MIRACLE FIGHTER V1 Y L Chung · P F Yiu 5 13.0 1-1/2
5 10 PEJIBAYE B1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 10 6.4 4
6 2 BRIGHT DAY B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 3 14.0 4-1/4
7 11 THUNDER BLINK B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 9 38.0 6-1/4
8 8 TEAM TEAM FOLKS SR- K Teetan · C W Chang 6 15.0 7
9 12 SOMETHING JONAH A Atzeni · D J Hall 12 118.0 7
10 1 WARRIORS DREAM P-/XB/E1/TT L Hewitson · D Eustace 11 67.0 15-1/2
11 4 GALLANT REX TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 7 140.0 24
12 9 EVERYONE'S GALLOP V/TT1 M L Yeung · F C Lor 2 135.0 24-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PERFECTDAY2. WONDERSTAR+0.1L3. LUNAR DASH+0.05L4. MIRACLE FIGHTER+1.5L5. PEJIBAYE+4L6. BRIGHT DAY+4.25L7. THUNDER BLINK+6.25L8. TEAM TEAM FOLKS+7L9. SOMETHING JONAH+7L10. WARRIORS DREAM+15.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick LUNAR DASH (35.4%) finished 3rd — the winner PERFECTDAY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 LUNAR DASH 35.4% 2.82 3
2 3 WONDERSTAR 17.6% 5.69 2
3 10 PEJIBAYE 9.0% 11.12 5
4 2 BRIGHT DAY 6.3% 15.86 6
5 6 MIRACLE FIGHTER 6.1% 16.28 4
6 7 PERFECTDAY 5.8% 17.26 1
7 11 THUNDER BLINK 5.3% 18.93 7
8 8 TEAM TEAM FOLKS 4.2% 23.56 8
9 12 SOMETHING JONAH 3.8% 26.46 9
10 9 EVERYONE'S GALLOP 2.6% 38.20 12
11 1 WARRIORS DREAM 2.1% 48.70 10
12 4 GALLANT REX 1.8% 55.67 11
LUNAR DASHWONDERSTARPEJIBAYEBRIGHT DAYMIRACLE FIGHTERPERFECTDAY — wonTHUNDER BLINKTEAM TEAM FOLKSSOMETHING JONAHEVERYONE'S GALLOPWARRIORS DREAMGALLANT REX

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 121

PLACE

3 13.5

5 12

7 27.5

QUINELLA

3,7 236.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 22.5

3,7 64

5,7 44.5

FORECAST

7,3 534

TIERCE

7,3,5 1,547

TRIO

3,5,7 143

FIRST 4

3,5,6,7 250

QUARTET

7,3,5,6 9,649

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

8/3 45.5

8/7 971.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,7,8/3,5,7 5,768