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Sha Tin · 2025-06-08 · 16:24

Race 4

Class 4 1600m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 PING HAI COMET Closed strongly H 1.34.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 1 4.8 2
2 4 ETALON OR Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu 4 2.1 2
3 14 PEARL OF PANG'S Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K L Man 6 7.9 4-1/4
4 9 HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly P H Bentley · K H Ting 14 17.0 4-1/4
5 12 BRAVE WITNESS Closed strongly XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 3 62.0 5-1/4
6 2 BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B/SR L Ferraris · C H Yip 9 36.0 5-1/4
7 7 CARRYON SMILING Closed strongly CP/TT K De Melo · W Y So 11 20.0 5-1/4
8 6 ACE Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · J Richards 7 65.0 6-1/4
9 1 MATSU VICTOR B M L Yeung · K W Lui 13 23.0 6-1/2
10 3 TIMES TABLE CP J Orman · M Newnham 2 12.0 7-1/2
11 5 CALIFORNIA SUN CP/XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 5 14.0 7-3/4
12 8 RADIANT SWIFT B B Thompson · T P Yung 8 240.0 8-1/4
13 10 EVERYONE'S CLASSIC TT K C Leung · F C Lor 10 59.0 9-1/4
14 11 ACE WAR Led early B2/TT1 P N Wong · D J Whyte 12 52.0 39-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-08 was Class 4 over 1600m. PING HAI COMET, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 2, with ETALON OR second and PEARL OF PANG'S third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite ETALON OR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PING HAI COMET—2. ETALON OR+2L3. PEARL OF PANG'S+4.25L4. HAPPY UNIVERSE+4.25L5. BRAVE WITNESS+5.25L6. BRIGHT INHERITANCE+5.25L7. CARRYON SMILING+5.25L8. ACE+6.25L9. MATSU VICTOR+6.5L10. TIMES TABLE+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PING HAI COMET (25.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 13 PING HAI COMET 25.9% 3.87 1
2 4 ETALON OR 18.3% 5.48 2
3 3 TIMES TABLE 8.4% 11.88 10
4 12 BRAVE WITNESS 8.3% 12.09 5
5 1 MATSU VICTOR 7.6% 13.21 9
6 9 HAPPY UNIVERSE 7.3% 13.66 4
7 7 CARRYON SMILING 5.6% 18.01 7
8 2 BRIGHT INHERITANCE 4.2% 23.61 6
9 14 PEARL OF PANG'S 3.8% 26.60 3
10 5 CALIFORNIA SUN 3.7% 26.99 11
11 6 ACE 2.6% 38.40 8
12 11 ACE WAR 2.6% 38.67 14
13 10 EVERYONE'S CLASSIC 1.3% 76.78 13
14 8 RADIANT SWIFT 0.5% 182.11 12
PING HAI COMET — wonETALON ORTIMES TABLEBRAVE WITNESSMATSU VICTORHAPPY UNIVERSECARRYON SMILINGBRIGHT INHERITANCEPEARL OF PANG'SCALIFORNIA SUNACEACE WAREVERYONE'S CLASSICRADIANT SWIFT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 48.5

PLACE

4 11

13 18.5

14 26

QUINELLA

4,13 46

QUINELLA PLACE

4,13 23

4,14 36.5

13,14 64.5

FORECAST

13,4 133

TIERCE

13,4,14 702

TRIO

4,13,14 137

FIRST 4

4,9,13,14 539

QUARTET

13,4,14,9 9,704

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,8,10/4,13,14 49,543

3RD DOUBLE

10/4 103.5

10/13 1,395