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Sha Tin · 2025-06-08 · 08:25

Race 4

Class 4 1600m Course C 14 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-08 was Class 4 over 1600m. PING HAI COMET, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 2, with ETALON OR second and PEARL OF PANG'S third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite ETALON OR finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.34.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 PING HAI COMET Closed strongly H 1.34.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 1 4.8 2
2 4 ETALON OR Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu 4 2.1 2
3 14 PEARL OF PANG'S Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K L Man 6 7.9 4-1/4
4 9 HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly P H Bentley · K H Ting 14 17.0 4-1/4
5 12 BRAVE WITNESS Closed strongly XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 3 62.0 5-1/4
6 2 BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B/SR L Ferraris · C H Yip 9 36.0 5-1/4
7 7 CARRYON SMILING Closed strongly CP/TT K De Melo · W Y So 11 20.0 5-1/4
8 6 ACE Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · J Richards 7 65.0 6-1/4
9 1 MATSU VICTOR B M L Yeung · K W Lui 13 23.0 6-1/2
10 3 TIMES TABLE CP J Orman · M Newnham 2 12.0 7-1/2
11 5 CALIFORNIA SUN CP/XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 5 14.0 7-3/4
12 8 RADIANT SWIFT B B Thompson · T P Yung 8 240.0 8-1/4
13 10 EVERYONE'S CLASSIC TT K C Leung · F C Lor 10 59.0 9-1/4
14 11 ACE WAR Led early B2/TT1 P N Wong · D J Whyte 12 52.0 39-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PING HAI COMET2. ETALON OR+2L3. PEARL OF PANG'S+4.25L4. HAPPY UNIVERSE+4.25L5. BRAVE WITNESS+5.25L6. BRIGHT INHERITANCE+5.25L7. CARRYON SMILING+5.25L8. ACE+6.25L9. MATSU VICTOR+6.5L10. TIMES TABLE+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PING HAI COMET (25.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 13 PING HAI COMET 25.9% 3.87 1
2 4 ETALON OR 18.3% 5.48 2
3 3 TIMES TABLE 8.4% 11.88 10
4 12 BRAVE WITNESS 8.3% 12.09 5
5 1 MATSU VICTOR 7.6% 13.21 9
6 9 HAPPY UNIVERSE 7.3% 13.66 4
7 7 CARRYON SMILING 5.6% 18.01 7
8 2 BRIGHT INHERITANCE 4.2% 23.61 6
9 14 PEARL OF PANG'S 3.8% 26.60 3
10 5 CALIFORNIA SUN 3.7% 26.99 11
11 6 ACE 2.6% 38.40 8
12 11 ACE WAR 2.6% 38.67 14
13 10 EVERYONE'S CLASSIC 1.3% 76.78 13
14 8 RADIANT SWIFT 0.5% 182.11 12
PING HAI COMET — wonETALON ORTIMES TABLEBRAVE WITNESSMATSU VICTORHAPPY UNIVERSECARRYON SMILINGBRIGHT INHERITANCEPEARL OF PANG'SCALIFORNIA SUNACEACE WAREVERYONE'S CLASSICRADIANT SWIFT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 48.5

PLACE

4 11

13 18.5

14 26

QUINELLA

4,13 46

QUINELLA PLACE

4,13 23

4,14 36.5

13,14 64.5

FORECAST

13,4 133

TIERCE

13,4,14 702

TRIO

4,13,14 137

FIRST 4

4,9,13,14 539

QUARTET

13,4,14,9 9,704

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,8,10/4,13,14 49,543

3RD DOUBLE

10/4 103.5

10/13 1,395