Sha Tin · 2025-06-08 · 08:25
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-08 was Class 3 over 1200m. AERIS NOVA, ridden by K C Leung and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-3/4, with YOUNG SUPERSTAR second and SOLID IMPACT third. The 2.3 favourite LITTLE PARADISE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AERIS NOVA V-/XB/B2/TT 1.08.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SOLID IMPACT CP K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 10 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | AHREN A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 6 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 8.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LITTLE PARADISE TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 2.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | THE RED HARE E/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 4 | 8.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | ONE MORE XB J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 1 | 83.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | ANOTHER ZONDA B K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | SUGAR SUGAR TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 67.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | ROMANTIC SON CP2 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 16.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LITTLE PARADISE | 55.4% | 1.81 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 12.0% | 8.30 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | AHREN | 10.5% | 9.56 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 7.0% | 14.39 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | ROMANTIC SON | 3.2% | 31.08 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | AERIS NOVA | 2.4% | 41.57 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | SOLID IMPACT | 2.3% | 43.69 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 2.0% | 50.55 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR | 1.7% | 57.89 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | SUGAR SUGAR | 1.5% | 68.32 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | ONE MORE | 1.0% | 96.66 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | THE RED HARE | 1.0% | 97.46 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 181
PLACE
4 44.5
5 55.5
12 42.5
QUINELLA
4,5 1,581.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 326.5
4,12 317.5
5,12 398.5
FORECAST
4,5 3,031
TIERCE
4,5,12 39,202
TRIO
4,5,12 5,522
FIRST 4
4,5,10,12 5,894
QUARTET
4,5,12,10 183,557
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
4/7/4 17,445
4/7/5 3,645
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,7/4,5,12 4,550,225
9TH DOUBLE
7/4 1,955
7/5 436
SIX UP
4,10/2,12/6,7/1,4/4,7/4,5 193,322
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —