沙田 · 2025-06-08 · 08:25
第 10場
2025-06-08沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米。由K C Leung策騎、T P Yung訓練的AERIS NOVA勝出，贏出1-3/4。YOUNG SUPERSTAR獲得亞軍；SOLID IMPACT獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門LITTLE PARADISE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AERIS NOVA V-/XB/B2/TT 1.08.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SOLID IMPACT CP K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 10 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | AHREN A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 6 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 8.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LITTLE PARADISE TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 2.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | THE RED HARE E/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 4 | 8.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | ONE MORE XB J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 1 | 83.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | ANOTHER ZONDA B K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | SUGAR SUGAR TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 67.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | ROMANTIC SON CP2 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 16.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LITTLE PARADISE | 55.4% | 1.81 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 12.0% | 8.30 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | AHREN | 10.5% | 9.56 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 7.0% | 14.39 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | ROMANTIC SON | 3.2% | 31.08 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | AERIS NOVA | 2.4% | 41.57 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | SOLID IMPACT | 2.3% | 43.69 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 2.0% | 50.55 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR | 1.7% | 57.89 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | SUGAR SUGAR | 1.5% | 68.32 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | ONE MORE | 1.0% | 96.66 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | THE RED HARE | 1.0% | 97.46 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 181
PLACE
4 44.5
5 55.5
12 42.5
QUINELLA
4,5 1,581.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 326.5
4,12 317.5
5,12 398.5
FORECAST
4,5 3,031
TIERCE
4,5,12 39,202
TRIO
4,5,12 5,522
FIRST 4
4,5,10,12 5,894
QUARTET
4,5,12,10 183,557
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
4/7/4 17,445
4/7/5 3,645
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,7/4,5,12 4,550,225
9TH DOUBLE
7/4 1,955
7/5 436
SIX UP
4,10/2,12/6,7/1,4/4,7/4,5 193,322
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —