沙田 · 2025-06-28 · 11:20
第 5場
2025-06-28沙田第5場，Class 4，途程2000米。由E C W Wong策騎、C H Yip訓練的S J TOURBILLON勝出，贏出2-1/4。MANAGEMENT FOLKS獲得亞軍；STORM RUNNER獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。1.9倍大熱門DOUBLE WIN跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | S J TOURBILLON 一路領先 CP/TT 2.02.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS 後段發力 B- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | STORM RUNNER 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 6 | 6.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | DOUBLE WIN B-/XB/V1/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 1.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FAST SPEED 後段發力 CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 5 | 53.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | CELESTIAL HARMONY TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 12 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | BRAVE WITNESS XB/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 8 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | ROMANTIC FANTASY B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 9 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | PERFECT PAIRING 後段發力 B M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 10 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | FIREFOOT TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 4 | 7.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SERANGOON 後段發力 CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 11 | 56.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | PERPETUAL POWER B1 L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 2 | 36.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 11 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DOUBLE WIN | 42.3% | 2.37 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | STORM RUNNER | 12.0% | 8.33 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | FIREFOOT | 8.3% | 12.11 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 7.7% | 13.00 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | S J TOURBILLON | 7.7% | 13.02 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | PERFECT PAIRING | 5.9% | 16.82 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 4.2% | 23.56 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | BRAVE WITNESS | 3.2% | 30.80 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | PERPETUAL POWER | 3.1% | 32.07 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | SERANGOON | 2.4% | 41.03 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 1.9% | 51.48 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | FAST SPEED | 1.2% | 85.23 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 264
PLACE
4 59.5
7 33.5
13 17.5
QUINELLA
4,7 1,469
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 317
4,13 193
7,13 112
FORECAST
4,7 2,845
TIERCE
4,7,13 16,281
TRIO
4,7,13 2,246
FIRST 4
4,6,7,13 886
QUARTET
4,7,13,6 39,446
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
6/5/4 1,098
6/5/7 139
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,12/4,7,13 55,319
4TH DOUBLE
5/4 579.5
5/7 61.5