沙田 · 2025-06-28 · 13:20
第 11場
2025-06-28沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1400米。由A Hamelin策騎、C W Chang訓練的RISING FROM ASHES勝出，贏出1-1/2。BEAUTY BOLT獲得亞軍；BEAUTY ALLIANCE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.7倍大熱門KA YING ATTACK跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | RISING FROM ASHES 後段發力 B/TT 1.21.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 4 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | BEAUTY BOLT 後段發力 TT1 B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE 後段發力 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | RAGGA BOMB 後段發力 XB H T Mo · D Eustace | H T Mo | D Eustace | 7 | 182.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | ONE MORE XB J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 10 | 64.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | LUCK IS BACK 後段發力 CP B Thompson · K W Lui | B Thompson | K W Lui | 3 | 89.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | THE RED HARE E/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 13 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | KA YING ATTACK 早段領放 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 2.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | ALL ROUND WINNER 後段發力 CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 49.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | FIND MY LOVE B/TT2 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 1 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | TOP DRAGON TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 14 | 3.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SUGAR SUGAR TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 42.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | MR BOLT A Atzeni · T P Yung | A Atzeni | T P Yung | 8 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 12 | WAVE GARDEN CP/XB1/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 39.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TOP DRAGON | 28.4% | 3.53 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 | KA YING ATTACK | 12.7% | 7.86 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | BEAUTY BOLT | 11.7% | 8.53 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 10.1% | 9.93 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | RISING FROM ASHES | 8.7% | 11.47 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | FIND MY LOVE | 7.5% | 13.30 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | MR BOLT | 4.7% | 21.38 | 13 |
| 8 | 2 | SUGAR SUGAR | 3.1% | 31.83 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | THE RED HARE | 2.9% | 34.01 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 2.9% | 34.03 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | LUCK IS BACK | 2.1% | 46.96 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | WAVE GARDEN | 2.1% | 47.68 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | ONE MORE | 1.9% | 52.00 | 5 |
| 14 | 14 | RAGGA BOMB | 1.0% | 96.03 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 140
PLACE
1 35.5
6 19.5
11 33
QUINELLA
6,11 456.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 126
1,11 195.5
6,11 131.5
FORECAST
11,6 1,033
TIERCE
11,6,1 8,347
TRIO
1,6,11 1,288
FIRST 4
1,6,11,14 26,040
QUARTET
11,6,1,14 579,711
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
10/6 157.5
10/11 3,321.5
2ND TREBLE
2/10/6 1,658
2/10/11 23,351
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,10/1,6,11 243,338
SIX UP
1/6,9/3/2/10/11 1,153,699
1,10/6,9,10/2,3/2,13/5,10/6,11 13,374
1 [Z Purton] —
2 [A S Cruz] —