沙田 · 2025-06-28 · 13:05
第 10場
2025-06-28沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1650米。由E C W Wong策騎、D A Hayes訓練的ARIEL勝出，贏出3/4。MOJAVE DESERT獲得亞軍；NEW FOREST獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.7倍大熱門DRAGON AIR FORCE跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ARIEL 後段發力 B/TT 1.38.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | MOJAVE DESERT 後段發力 B/XB K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | 1 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | NEW FOREST 早段領放 TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 7 | 7.5 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | WUKONG JEWELLERY 後段發力 P1/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | ALLCASH 後段發力 CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | NEVER PETER OUT 後段發力 V/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 8 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 2 | 41.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | DRAGON AIR FORCE 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 9 | 5.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | TURIN MASCOT 後段發力 PC/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 10 | 21.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | LUCKY TOUCH 後段發力 B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 13 | 7.9 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | KEMPES H/XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 4 | 7.9 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | CHILL KAKA V Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 14 | 7.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | NOBLE PURSUIT TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 63.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 12 | 63.0 | 19-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CHILL KAKA | 35.9% | 2.78 | 12 |
| 2 | 2 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 18.1% | 5.53 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | MOJAVE DESERT | 8.4% | 11.85 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | KEMPES | 5.1% | 19.59 | 11 |
| 5 | 13 | ALLCASH | 4.1% | 24.58 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 4.1% | 24.63 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | TURIN MASCOT | 3.9% | 25.51 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | NEW FOREST | 3.9% | 25.66 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | ARIEL | 3.9% | 25.97 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | LUCKY TOUCH | 3.5% | 28.62 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | NEVER PETER OUT | 3.5% | 28.82 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 2.6% | 38.73 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 1.6% | 64.40 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | WUKONG JEWELLERY | 1.5% | 65.82 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 152
PLACE
5 28
8 27.5
10 47
QUINELLA
5,10 508
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 103.5
5,10 195
8,10 195
FORECAST
10,5 1,360
TIERCE
10,5,8 11,325
TRIO
5,8,10 1,634
FIRST 4
5,8,10,14 8,458
QUARTET
10,5,8,14 232,176
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
2/5 147.5
2/10 1,589.5