沙田 · 2025-06-28 · 11:20
第 6場
2025-06-28沙田第6場,Class 4,途程1200米。由K C Leung策騎、K L Man訓練的LUCKY MY WAY勝出,贏出3/4。NOBLE FANS獲得亞軍;SOLID IMPACT獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門SOLID IMPACT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCKY MY WAY SR 1.09.67 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | NOBLE FANS TT1 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SOLID IMPACT CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 3.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | PARTERRE B K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 11 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT H2/XB2/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 13 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | NO OTHER CHOICE H/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 8 | 97.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 4 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | SOLAR RIVER CP/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 3 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | DASH SR/TT1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 12 | 47.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | DAY DAY VICTORY M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 14 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | TAI VICTORY SR/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 10 | 147.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LEGENDARY IMPACT CP/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 5 | 90.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | ROMANTIC PARTY H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 1 | 15.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | KING SHOW CP-/H H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 108.0 | 16-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SOLAR RIVER | 19.0% | 5.25 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | SOLID IMPACT | 17.4% | 5.74 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | LUCKY MY WAY | 16.8% | 5.94 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | ROMANTIC PARTY | 11.9% | 8.38 | 13 |
| 5 | 13 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 7.4% | 13.52 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | NOBLE FANS | 7.1% | 14.09 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT | 5.3% | 18.85 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | PARTERRE | 4.2% | 23.53 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | DASH | 2.6% | 38.56 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | NO OTHER CHOICE | 2.3% | 43.06 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | KING SHOW | 1.6% | 61.15 | 14 |
| 12 | 5 | LEGENDARY IMPACT | 1.6% | 63.52 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | TAI VICTORY | 1.3% | 74.22 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS | 1.2% | 81.26 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 40.5
PLACE
1 16.5
2 14.5
10 20
QUINELLA
1,10 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 27
1,10 44
2,10 38.5
FORECAST
1,10 214
TIERCE
1,10,2 716
TRIO
1,2,10 119
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 285
QUARTET
1,10,2,4 5,513
全部彩池(另 1 項)
5TH DOUBLE
4/1 1,124.5
4/10 348