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Sha Tin · 2025-06-28 · 11:20

Race 6

Class 4 1200m Course B 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-28 was Class 4 over 1200m. LUCKY MY WAY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by 3/4, with NOBLE FANS second and SOLID IMPACT third. The 3.1 favourite SOLID IMPACT finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.09.67
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 LUCKY MY WAY SR 1.09.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man 6 4.0 3/4
2 10 NOBLE FANS TT1 B Avdulla · J Size 2 6.1 3/4
3 2 SOLID IMPACT CP Z Purton · D J Hall 9 3.1 1
4 4 PARTERRE B K De Melo · W Y So 11 15.0 2-1/4
5 11 MAJESTIC DELIGHT H2/XB2/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 13 24.0 2-3/4
6 9 NO OTHER CHOICE H/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes 8 97.0 3-1/4
7 7 CONSPIRACY WITNESS B Thompson · D A Hayes 4 33.0 3-1/2
8 12 SOLAR RIVER CP/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 3 6.3 3-1/2
9 8 DASH SR/TT1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte 12 47.0 5-1/4
10 13 DAY DAY VICTORY M F Poon · T P Yung 14 15.0 7-1/2
11 3 TAI VICTORY SR/TT A Badel · M Newnham 10 147.0 9-1/4
12 5 LEGENDARY IMPACT CP/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 5 90.0 11-1/2
13 6 ROMANTIC PARTY H Bentley · P F Yiu 1 15.0 15-1/2
14 14 KING SHOW CP-/H H T Mo · Y S Tsui 7 108.0 16-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY MY WAY2. NOBLE FANS+0.75L3. SOLID IMPACT+1L4. PARTERRE+2.25L5. MAJESTIC DELIGHT+2.75L6. NO OTHER CHOICE+3.25L7. CONSPIRACY WITNESS+3.5L8. SOLAR RIVER+3.5L9. DASH+5.25L10. DAY DAY VICTORY+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SOLAR RIVER (19.0%) finished 8th — the winner LUCKY MY WAY was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 SOLAR RIVER 19.0% 5.25 8
2 2 SOLID IMPACT 17.4% 5.74 3
3 1 LUCKY MY WAY 16.8% 5.94 1
4 6 ROMANTIC PARTY 11.9% 8.38 13
5 13 DAY DAY VICTORY 7.4% 13.52 10
6 10 NOBLE FANS 7.1% 14.09 2
7 11 MAJESTIC DELIGHT 5.3% 18.85 5
8 4 PARTERRE 4.2% 23.53 4
9 8 DASH 2.6% 38.56 9
10 9 NO OTHER CHOICE 2.3% 43.06 6
11 14 KING SHOW 1.6% 61.15 14
12 5 LEGENDARY IMPACT 1.6% 63.52 12
13 3 TAI VICTORY 1.3% 74.22 11
14 7 CONSPIRACY WITNESS 1.2% 81.26 7
SOLAR RIVERSOLID IMPACTLUCKY MY WAY — wonROMANTIC PARTYDAY DAY VICTORYNOBLE FANSMAJESTIC DELIGHTPARTERREDASHNO OTHER CHOICEKING SHOWLEGENDARY IMPACTTAI VICTORYCONSPIRACY WITNESS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 40.5

PLACE

1 16.5

2 14.5

10 20

QUINELLA

1,10 113.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 27

1,10 44

2,10 38.5

FORECAST

1,10 214

TIERCE

1,10,2 716

TRIO

1,2,10 119

FIRST 4

1,2,4,10 285

QUARTET

1,10,2,4 5,513

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

4/1 1,124.5

4/10 348