Sha Tin · 2025-06-28 · 11:20
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-28 was Class 5 over 1400m. GALLANT CROWN, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D A Hayes, won by HD, with CIRCUIT FIERY second and TEAM HAPPY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite CIRCUIT FIERY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B2/TT 1.21.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 8 | 29.0 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | CIRCUIT FIERY Closed strongly PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 2.0 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | TEAM HAPPY Led early B/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 9 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | NINJA DERBY H-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | TATTENHAM Closed strongly B A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 4 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | URBAN TRIUMPH Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 14 | SUPERB MOVE B/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 6 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP Closed strongly V A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 5 | 9.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly V K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 2 | 17.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | PERFECTO MOMENTS H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 62.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 14 | 8.4 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | FOREMOST TEDDY B/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 13 | 32.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS B/TT J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 12 | 117.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | SILVER DESTINY XB/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 46.0 | 17 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 26.3% | 3.80 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | NINJA DERBY | 13.0% | 7.69 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | TEAM HAPPY | 8.6% | 11.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 8.3% | 12.07 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 7.9% | 12.71 | 12 |
| 6 | 13 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 6.8% | 14.69 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | TATTENHAM | 6.0% | 16.55 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | URBAN TRIUMPH | 5.1% | 19.59 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 4.6% | 21.80 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | SILVER DESTINY | 3.7% | 27.04 | 14 |
| 11 | 1 | GALLANT CROWN | 2.8% | 35.46 | 1 |
| 12 | 4 | LUCKY GOLD | 2.6% | 38.14 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | SUPERB MOVE | 2.6% | 38.72 | 7 |
| 14 | 7 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS | 1.6% | 60.84 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 295.5
PLACE
1 66.5
2 37
3 11
QUINELLA
1,3 346
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 279
1,3 134.5
2,3 53
FORECAST
1,3 782
TIERCE
1,3,2 4,438
TRIO
1,2,3 494
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 1,131
QUARTET
1,3,2,6 34,691