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Sha Tin · 2025-06-28 · 16:01

Race 1

Class 5 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B2/TT 1.21.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D A Hayes 8 29.0 HD
2 3 CIRCUIT FIERY Closed strongly PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So 3 2.0 HD
3 2 TEAM HAPPY Led early B/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng 9 12.0 3
4 6 NINJA DERBY H-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 12.0 4-3/4
5 11 TATTENHAM Closed strongly B A Hamelin · T P Yung 4 11.0 5
6 10 URBAN TRIUMPH Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · C W Chang 10 30.0 6
7 14 SUPERB MOVE B/TT A Badel · C H Yip 6 20.0 6-1/4
8 13 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP Closed strongly V A Atzeni · P F Yiu 5 9.4 6-1/2
9 4 LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly V K De Melo · K W Lui 2 17.0 7-1/2
10 8 PERFECTO MOMENTS H Bentley · K H Ting 7 62.0 8
11 12 TSUEN WAN GLORY TT M Chadwick · K L Man 14 8.4 8-1/4
12 5 FOREMOST TEDDY B/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum 13 32.0 8-1/2
13 7 BRAVE OF FRIENDS B/TT J Orman · D J Whyte 12 117.0 13-3/4
14 9 SILVER DESTINY XB/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 11 46.0 17

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-28 was Class 5 over 1400m. GALLANT CROWN, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D A Hayes, won by HD, with CIRCUIT FIERY second and TEAM HAPPY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite CIRCUIT FIERY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALLANT CROWN—2. CIRCUIT FIERY+0.2L3. TEAM HAPPY+3L4. NINJA DERBY+4.75L5. TATTENHAM+5L6. URBAN TRIUMPH+6L7. SUPERB MOVE+6.25L8. JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP+6.5L9. LUCKY GOLD+7.5L10. PERFECTO MOMENTS+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick CIRCUIT FIERY (26.3%) finished 2nd — the winner GALLANT CROWN was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 CIRCUIT FIERY 26.3% 3.80 2
2 6 NINJA DERBY 13.0% 7.69 4
3 2 TEAM HAPPY 8.6% 11.63 3
4 12 TSUEN WAN GLORY 8.3% 12.07 11
5 5 FOREMOST TEDDY 7.9% 12.71 12
6 13 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP 6.8% 14.69 8
7 11 TATTENHAM 6.0% 16.55 5
8 10 URBAN TRIUMPH 5.1% 19.59 6
9 8 PERFECTO MOMENTS 4.6% 21.80 10
10 9 SILVER DESTINY 3.7% 27.04 14
11 1 GALLANT CROWN 2.8% 35.46 1
12 4 LUCKY GOLD 2.6% 38.14 9
13 14 SUPERB MOVE 2.6% 38.72 7
14 7 BRAVE OF FRIENDS 1.6% 60.84 13
CIRCUIT FIERYNINJA DERBYTEAM HAPPYTSUEN WAN GLORYFOREMOST TEDDYJOYFUL FRIENDSHIPTATTENHAMURBAN TRIUMPHPERFECTO MOMENTSSILVER DESTINYGALLANT CROWN — wonLUCKY GOLDSUPERB MOVEBRAVE OF FRIENDS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 295.5

PLACE

1 66.5

2 37

3 11

QUINELLA

1,3 346

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 279

1,3 134.5

2,3 53

FORECAST

1,3 782

TIERCE

1,3,2 4,438

TRIO

1,2,3 494

FIRST 4

1,2,3,6 1,131

QUARTET

1,3,2,6 34,691