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Sha Tin · 2025-06-28 · 11:45

Race 8

Class 1 1000m Course B 8 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-28 was Class 1 over 1000m. BEAUTY WAVES, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with WUNDERBAR second and MAGIC CONTROL third. The 3.5 favourite WUNDERBAR finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 0.55.67
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 BEAUTY WAVES TT 0.55.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz 8 3.7 1/2
2 2 WUNDERBAR E B Avdulla · J Size 2 3.5 1/2
3 1 MAGIC CONTROL TT E C W Wong · W K Mo 5 7.1 1-1/4
4 8 STELLAR EXPRESS B A Atzeni · J Size 6 8.0 2-1/2
5 6 HORSEPOWER XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 3 5.1 5-1/4
6 4 AURORA LADY CP/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 7 11.0 5-1/2
7 5 FULL CREDIT TT1 M Chadwick · M Newnham 4 10.0 8-1/4
8 7 RED ELEGANCE B K De Melo · D J Whyte 1 39.0 8-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY WAVES2. WUNDERBAR+0.5L3. MAGIC CONTROL+1.25L4. STELLAR EXPRESS+2.5L5. HORSEPOWER+5.25L6. AURORA LADY+5.5L7. FULL CREDIT+8.25L8. RED ELEGANCE+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick WUNDERBAR (26.4%) finished 2nd — the winner BEAUTY WAVES was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 WUNDERBAR 26.4% 3.79 2
2 6 HORSEPOWER 26.2% 3.81 5
3 7 RED ELEGANCE 11.9% 8.39 8
4 3 BEAUTY WAVES 9.9% 10.09 1
5 8 STELLAR EXPRESS 8.2% 12.15 4
6 5 FULL CREDIT 6.9% 14.50 7
7 4 AURORA LADY 5.5% 18.13 6
8 1 MAGIC CONTROL 4.9% 20.35 3
WUNDERBARHORSEPOWERRED ELEGANCEBEAUTY WAVES — wonSTELLAR EXPRESSFULL CREDITAURORA LADYMAGIC CONTROL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 37.5

PLACE

1 20.5

2 14

3 14.5

QUINELLA

2,3 72

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 39.5

1,3 57.5

2,3 27.5

FORECAST

3,2 159

TIERCE

3,2,1 730

TRIO

1,2,3 111

FIRST 4

1,2,3,8 126

QUARTET

3,2,1,8 3,057

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

6,9/2 16.5

6,9/3 180.5