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Sha Tin · 2025-06-28 · 11:20

Race 3

Class 3 2000m Course B 10 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-28 was Class 3 over 2000m. GENTLEMEN LEGACY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with STAR CONTACT second and BRAVEHEARTS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 2.00.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 GENTLEMEN LEGACY Closed strongly TT 2.00.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz 4 1.7 3/4
2 5 STAR CONTACT B-/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes 7 15.0 3/4
3 2 BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly M F Poon · M Newnham 8 14.0 3/4
4 9 PACKING HURRICANE B/TT Y L Chung · D Eustace 5 16.0 3/4
5 3 FAMILY JEWEL Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 9 7.9 1-1/2
6 7 AGENDA BO K Teetan · D J Hall 1 19.0 1-3/4
7 1 FALLON B/TT B Thompson · A S Cruz 2 6.7 2-1/2
8 10 CHARITY TOGETHER Led early B/TT A Badel · D Eustace 3 12.0 4-1/2
9 4 SENOR TOBA V2/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip 6 48.0 4-1/2
10 8 MASTER TRILLION B M Chadwick · F C Lor 10 55.0 11-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GENTLEMEN LEGACY2. STAR CONTACT+0.75L3. BRAVEHEARTS+0.75L4. PACKING HURRICANE+0.75L5. FAMILY JEWEL+1.5L6. AGENDA+1.75L7. FALLON+2.5L8. CHARITY TOGETHER+4.5L9. SENOR TOBA+4.5L10. MASTER TRILLION+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick GENTLEMEN LEGACY (42.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 GENTLEMEN LEGACY 42.6% 2.35 1
2 7 AGENDA 14.6% 6.86 6
3 3 FAMILY JEWEL 9.8% 10.19 5
4 1 FALLON 7.9% 12.70 7
5 2 BRAVEHEARTS 7.1% 13.99 3
6 8 MASTER TRILLION 6.5% 15.40 10
7 4 SENOR TOBA 3.2% 31.33 9
8 9 PACKING HURRICANE 3.1% 32.55 4
9 10 CHARITY TOGETHER 2.6% 37.75 8
10 5 STAR CONTACT 2.6% 38.61 2
GENTLEMEN LEGACY — wonAGENDAFAMILY JEWELFALLONBRAVEHEARTSMASTER TRILLIONSENOR TOBAPACKING HURRICANECHARITY TOGETHERSTAR CONTACT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 17.5

PLACE

2 28.5

5 34.5

6 12

QUINELLA

5,6 137.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 192

2,6 42.5

5,6 55.5

FORECAST

6,5 177

TIERCE

6,5,2 993

TRIO

2,5,6 315

FIRST 4

2,5,6,9 877

QUARTET

6,5,2,9 8,481

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,14/2,5,6 7,515

2ND DOUBLE

4/5 86.5

4/6 38