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Sha Tin · 2025-06-28 · 21:18

Race 11

Class 3 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C W Chang 4 14.0 1-1/2
2 6 BEAUTY BOLT Closed strongly TT1 B Avdulla · A S Cruz 5 5.8 1-1/2
3 1 BEAUTY ALLIANCE Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size 6 15.0 1-3/4
4 14 RAGGA BOMB Closed strongly XB H T Mo · D Eustace 7 182.0 2-1/2
5 5 ONE MORE XB J Orman · M Newnham 10 64.0 2-1/2
6 9 LUCK IS BACK Closed strongly CP B Thompson · K W Lui 3 89.0 3
7 7 THE RED HARE E/TT A Badel · F C Lor 13 29.0 3-1/4
8 3 KA YING ATTACK Led early B M F Poon · D J Hall 12 2.7 3-1/4
9 13 ALL ROUND WINNER Closed strongly CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes 11 49.0 4-1/4
10 10 FIND MY LOVE B/TT2 K De Melo · D J Whyte 1 20.0 5-3/4
11 4 TOP DRAGON TT Z Purton · W Y So 14 3.3 6-1/4
12 2 SUGAR SUGAR TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 9 42.0 6-3/4
13 8 MR BOLT A Atzeni · T P Yung 8 21.0 7
14 12 WAVE GARDEN CP/XB1/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 2 39.0 13-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-28 was Class 3 over 1400m. RISING FROM ASHES, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/2, with BEAUTY BOLT second and BEAUTY ALLIANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite KA YING ATTACK finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RISING FROM ASHES—2. BEAUTY BOLT+1.5L3. BEAUTY ALLIANCE+1.75L4. RAGGA BOMB+2.5L5. ONE MORE+2.5L6. LUCK IS BACK+3L7. THE RED HARE+3.25L8. KA YING ATTACK+3.25L9. ALL ROUND WINNER+4.25L10. FIND MY LOVE+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick TOP DRAGON (28.4%) finished 11th — the winner RISING FROM ASHES was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 TOP DRAGON 28.4% 3.53 11
2 3 KA YING ATTACK 12.7% 7.86 8
3 6 BEAUTY BOLT 11.7% 8.53 2
4 1 BEAUTY ALLIANCE 10.1% 9.93 3
5 11 RISING FROM ASHES 8.7% 11.47 1
6 10 FIND MY LOVE 7.5% 13.30 10
7 8 MR BOLT 4.7% 21.38 13
8 2 SUGAR SUGAR 3.1% 31.83 12
9 7 THE RED HARE 2.9% 34.01 7
10 13 ALL ROUND WINNER 2.9% 34.03 9
11 9 LUCK IS BACK 2.1% 46.96 6
12 12 WAVE GARDEN 2.1% 47.68 14
13 5 ONE MORE 1.9% 52.00 5
14 14 RAGGA BOMB 1.0% 96.03 4
TOP DRAGONKA YING ATTACKBEAUTY BOLTBEAUTY ALLIANCERISING FROM ASHES — wonFIND MY LOVEMR BOLTSUGAR SUGARTHE RED HAREALL ROUND WINNERLUCK IS BACKWAVE GARDENONE MORERAGGA BOMB

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 140

PLACE

1 35.5

6 19.5

11 33

QUINELLA

6,11 456.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 126

1,11 195.5

6,11 131.5

FORECAST

11,6 1,033

TIERCE

11,6,1 8,347

TRIO

1,6,11 1,288

FIRST 4

1,6,11,14 26,040

QUARTET

11,6,1,14 579,711

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

10/6 157.5

10/11 3,321.5

2ND TREBLE

2/10/6 1,658

2/10/11 23,351

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

5,8,10/1,6,11 243,338

SIX UP

1/6,9/3/2/10/11 1,153,699

1,10/6,9,10/2,3/2,13/5,10/6,11 13,374

2 [A S Cruz] —

1 [Z Purton] —