Sha Tin · 2025-06-28 · 13:20
Race 11
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-28 was Class 3 over 1400m. RISING FROM ASHES, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/2, with BEAUTY BOLT second and BEAUTY ALLIANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite KA YING ATTACK finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 4 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | BEAUTY BOLT Closed strongly TT1 B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | RAGGA BOMB Closed strongly XB H T Mo · D Eustace | H T Mo | D Eustace | 7 | 182.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | ONE MORE XB J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 10 | 64.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | LUCK IS BACK Closed strongly CP B Thompson · K W Lui | B Thompson | K W Lui | 3 | 89.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | THE RED HARE E/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 13 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | KA YING ATTACK Led early B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 2.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | ALL ROUND WINNER Closed strongly CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 49.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | FIND MY LOVE B/TT2 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 1 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | TOP DRAGON TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 14 | 3.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SUGAR SUGAR TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 42.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | MR BOLT A Atzeni · T P Yung | A Atzeni | T P Yung | 8 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 12 | WAVE GARDEN CP/XB1/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 39.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TOP DRAGON | 28.4% | 3.53 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 | KA YING ATTACK | 12.7% | 7.86 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | BEAUTY BOLT | 11.7% | 8.53 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 10.1% | 9.93 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | RISING FROM ASHES | 8.7% | 11.47 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | FIND MY LOVE | 7.5% | 13.30 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | MR BOLT | 4.7% | 21.38 | 13 |
| 8 | 2 | SUGAR SUGAR | 3.1% | 31.83 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | THE RED HARE | 2.9% | 34.01 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 2.9% | 34.03 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | LUCK IS BACK | 2.1% | 46.96 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | WAVE GARDEN | 2.1% | 47.68 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | ONE MORE | 1.9% | 52.00 | 5 |
| 14 | 14 | RAGGA BOMB | 1.0% | 96.03 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 140
PLACE
1 35.5
6 19.5
11 33
QUINELLA
6,11 456.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 126
1,11 195.5
6,11 131.5
FORECAST
11,6 1,033
TIERCE
11,6,1 8,347
TRIO
1,6,11 1,288
FIRST 4
1,6,11,14 26,040
QUARTET
11,6,1,14 579,711
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
10/6 157.5
10/11 3,321.5
2ND TREBLE
2/10/6 1,658
2/10/11 23,351
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,10/1,6,11 243,338
SIX UP
1/6,9/3/2/10/11 1,153,699
1,10/6,9,10/2,3/2,13/5,10/6,11 13,374
1 [Z Purton] —
2 [A S Cruz] —