沙田 · 2025-07-05 · 09:35
第 4場
2025-07-05沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1600米。由K C Leung策騎、K L Man訓練的CELTIC TIMES勝出，贏出1-3/4。SMASHING EXPRESS獲得亞軍；APOLAR FIGHTER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門SMASHING EXPRESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CELTIC TIMES 後段發力 V-/B2/TT 1.35.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | SMASHING EXPRESS 後段發力 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | APOLAR FIGHTER 後段發力 B/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 7 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SMART BEAUTY 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | THE WAY WE WIN 早段領放 PC-/B2/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 8 | 97.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | HARRY'S HERO 後段發力 M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 10 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | PERFECT PEACH B/TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 1 | 5.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | BEAUTIFUL WIN CP/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 14 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | MEDIC ELITE H/PC/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 2 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | FIRE BALL CP E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 3 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | EN PERFECTO 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 92.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | FAMILY FORTUNE B1/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 13 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | PHANTOM CYCLONE B/TT- B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 9 | 74.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | SILVER KING H/P/TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 11 | 41.0 | 15-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PERFECT PEACH | 13.2% | 7.56 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTIFUL WIN | 11.4% | 8.80 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 10.8% | 9.29 | 12 |
| 4 | 5 | SMART BEAUTY | 10.5% | 9.53 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 9.1% | 11.01 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | HARRY'S HERO | 8.3% | 11.99 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | CELTIC TIMES | 6.7% | 14.98 | 1 |
| 8 | 4 | SILVER KING | 6.4% | 15.71 | 14 |
| 9 | 6 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 6.2% | 16.22 | 3 |
| 10 | 14 | MEDIC ELITE | 5.6% | 17.90 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | FIRE BALL | 4.0% | 25.15 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | EN PERFECTO | 3.8% | 26.01 | 11 |
| 13 | 10 | THE WAY WE WIN | 2.1% | 47.69 | 5 |
| 14 | 3 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 2.0% | 49.79 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 109.5
PLACE
6 34.5
7 35
8 17
QUINELLA
7,8 269
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 181.5
6,8 111.5
7,8 92
FORECAST
7,8 706
TIERCE
7,8,6 5,897
TRIO
6,7,8 948
FIRST 4
5,6,7,8 835
QUARTET
7,8,6,5 22,267
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
1/7 369.5
1/8 39