沙田 · 2025-07-05 · 11:10
第 7場
2025-07-05沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、A S Cruz訓練的IGOR STRAVINSKY勝出，贏出N。TOURBILLON GOLFER獲得亞軍；GROOVY FEELING獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門SZERYNG跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | IGOR STRAVINSKY B/TT 1.09.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.9 | N |
| 2 | 3 | TOURBILLON GOLFER TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.7 | N |
| 3 | 11 | GROOVY FEELING CP1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 7 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | PATCH OF WATCH B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 11 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SEA SAPPHIRE B1/TT E C W Wong · D Eustace | E C W Wong | D Eustace | 5 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY MCQUEEN H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | SZERYNG B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 2.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SMILING FALCON K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 77.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | WISEMAN B1/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | APPEALING CITY TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 12 | 207.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | TEAM TEAM FOLKS CP1 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 10 | 61.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | WINNING CIGAR H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 6 | 23.0 | 22-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SZERYNG | 30.1% | 3.32 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 19.6% | 5.10 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | TOURBILLON GOLFER | 17.6% | 5.69 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | IGOR STRAVINSKY | 10.0% | 9.98 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | PATCH OF WATCH | 4.5% | 22.31 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY MCQUEEN | 4.3% | 23.14 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | SMILING FALCON | 3.4% | 29.33 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | WISEMAN | 3.0% | 32.87 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | WINNING CIGAR | 2.9% | 34.41 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | TEAM TEAM FOLKS | 2.1% | 46.56 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | GROOVY FEELING | 1.9% | 53.73 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | APPEALING CITY | 0.5% | 198.80 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 99
PLACE
1 23
3 15
11 54.5
QUINELLA
1,3 165
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 53.5
1,11 298
3,11 138.5
FORECAST
1,3 424
TIERCE
1,3,11 6,696
TRIO
1,3,11 1,007
FIRST 4
1,3,11,12 3,576
QUARTET
1,3,11,12 63,494
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,12/1,3,11 28,636
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 518.5
4/3 27.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,8,11,12/3,4,12/1,3,11 220,260
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,8,11,12/3,4,12/Any Combination 254