Sha Tin · 2025-07-05 · 11:10
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-05 was Class 4 over 1200m. IGOR STRAVINSKY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with TOURBILLON GOLFER second and GROOVY FEELING third. The 2.6 favourite SZERYNG finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | IGOR STRAVINSKY B/TT 1.09.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.9 | N |
| 2 | 3 | TOURBILLON GOLFER TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.7 | N |
| 3 | 11 | GROOVY FEELING CP1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 7 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | PATCH OF WATCH B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 11 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SEA SAPPHIRE B1/TT E C W Wong · D Eustace | E C W Wong | D Eustace | 5 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY MCQUEEN H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | SZERYNG B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 2.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SMILING FALCON K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 77.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | WISEMAN B1/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | APPEALING CITY TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 12 | 207.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | TEAM TEAM FOLKS CP1 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 10 | 61.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | WINNING CIGAR H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 6 | 23.0 | 22-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SZERYNG | 30.1% | 3.32 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 19.6% | 5.10 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | TOURBILLON GOLFER | 17.6% | 5.69 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | IGOR STRAVINSKY | 10.0% | 9.98 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | PATCH OF WATCH | 4.5% | 22.31 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY MCQUEEN | 4.3% | 23.14 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | SMILING FALCON | 3.4% | 29.33 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | WISEMAN | 3.0% | 32.87 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | WINNING CIGAR | 2.9% | 34.41 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | TEAM TEAM FOLKS | 2.1% | 46.56 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | GROOVY FEELING | 1.9% | 53.73 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | APPEALING CITY | 0.5% | 198.80 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 99
PLACE
1 23
3 15
11 54.5
QUINELLA
1,3 165
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 53.5
1,11 298
3,11 138.5
FORECAST
1,3 424
TIERCE
1,3,11 6,696
TRIO
1,3,11 1,007
FIRST 4
1,3,11,12 3,576
QUARTET
1,3,11,12 63,494
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,12/1,3,11 28,636
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 518.5
4/3 27.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,8,11,12/3,4,12/1,3,11 220,260
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,8,11,12/3,4,12/Any Combination 254