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Sha Tin · 2025-07-05 · 12:45

Race 10

Class 2 1200m Course C+3 11 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-05 was Class 2 over 1200m. DANCING CODE, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with HARMONY N BLESSED second and LADY'S CHOICE third. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.08.48
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 DANCING CODE B/TT 1.08.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 4 3.5 HD
2 9 HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 1 6.9 HD
3 2 LADY'S CHOICE B M F Poon · C W Chang 3 11.0 N
4 8 SELF IMPROVEMENT TT Y L Chung · K L Man 5 96.0 1-1/2
5 11 AERIS NOVA B/XB/TT K C Leung · T P Yung 8 10.0 1-1/2
6 3 TOMODACHI KOKOROE TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 6 7.2 2
7 5 COLOURFUL KING TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 7 6.5 2-1/2
8 7 CALL ME GLORIOUS B M Chadwick · K W Lui 2 18.0 3
9 4 MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE Z Purton · J Size 10 5.5 3-1/4
10 1 GORGEOUS WIN TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 9 20.0 4
11 10 MUST GO E/PC/TT B Thompson · J Size 11 97.0 5-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DANCING CODE2. HARMONY N BLESSED+0.2L3. LADY'S CHOICE+0.05L4. SELF IMPROVEMENT+1.5L5. AERIS NOVA+1.5L6. TOMODACHI KOKOROE+2L7. COLOURFUL KING+2.5L8. CALL ME GLORIOUS+3L9. MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE+3.25L10. GORGEOUS WIN+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE (31.9%) finished 9th — the winner DANCING CODE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE 31.9% 3.14 9
2 5 COLOURFUL KING 19.4% 5.16 7
3 11 AERIS NOVA 10.5% 9.50 5
4 9 HARMONY N BLESSED 9.8% 10.25 2
5 6 DANCING CODE 7.6% 13.15 1
6 3 TOMODACHI KOKOROE 5.9% 17.08 6
7 2 LADY'S CHOICE 5.1% 19.46 3
8 7 CALL ME GLORIOUS 3.6% 27.73 8
9 10 MUST GO 2.5% 40.45 11
10 8 SELF IMPROVEMENT 2.1% 47.26 4
11 1 GORGEOUS WIN 1.7% 59.11 10
MASTEROFMYUNIVERSECOLOURFUL KINGAERIS NOVAHARMONY N BLESSEDDANCING CODE — wonTOMODACHI KOKOROELADY'S CHOICECALL ME GLORIOUSMUST GOSELF IMPROVEMENTGORGEOUS WIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 35.5

PLACE

2 26

6 16.5

9 22.5

QUINELLA

6,9 149

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 64

2,9 99

6,9 53

FORECAST

6,9 264

TIERCE

6,9,2 1,154

TRIO

2,6,9 298

FIRST 4

2,6,8,9 4,147

QUARTET

6,9,2,8 57,091

All pools (1 more)

9TH DOUBLE

6/6 86.5

6/9 39