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Sha Tin · 2025-07-05 · 09:05

Race 3

Class 4 1200m 12 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-05 was Class 4 over 1200m. MR ENERGIA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-3/4, with DAILY TROPHY second and SIGHT HAPPY third. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.08.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 MR ENERGIA B 1.08.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 10 2.2 1-3/4
2 7 DAILY TROPHY TT K Teetan · C Fownes 7 20.0 1-3/4
3 5 SIGHT HAPPY CP-/B1 B Avdulla · D A Hayes 8 17.0 2
4 2 FASHION LEGEND TT J Orman · D Eustace 2 5.9 2-3/4
5 6 MAGNIAC TT C L Chau · T P Yung 1 9.7 4-1/2
6 11 YEE CHEONG RAIDER B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards 3 8.2 5-3/4
7 8 THUNDER BLINK B-/V2/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 5 26.0 7-3/4
8 4 SPEEDY TRIDENT B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 12 138.0 8-1/4
9 3 SMART FIGHTER V-/TT- L Ferraris · P F Yiu 11 21.0 8-1/4
10 12 SUNNY DARLING B/TT K De Melo · P C Ng 4 7.7 8-3/4
11 9 BEAUTY FORMULA CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 37.0 10
12 10 PRECIOUS HILL V1/TT M L Yeung · K L Man 9 45.0 16-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MR ENERGIA2. DAILY TROPHY+1.75L3. SIGHT HAPPY+2L4. FASHION LEGEND+2.75L5. MAGNIAC+4.5L6. YEE CHEONG RAIDER+5.75L7. THUNDER BLINK+7.75L8. SPEEDY TRIDENT+8.25L9. SMART FIGHTER+8.25L10. SUNNY DARLING+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FASHION LEGEND (30.1%) finished 4th — the winner MR ENERGIA was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 FASHION LEGEND 30.1% 3.33 4
2 1 MR ENERGIA 18.1% 5.53 1
3 6 MAGNIAC 13.9% 7.20 5
4 11 YEE CHEONG RAIDER 11.4% 8.75 6
5 12 SUNNY DARLING 5.8% 17.32 10
6 8 THUNDER BLINK 5.7% 17.46 7
7 5 SIGHT HAPPY 4.8% 21.00 3
8 7 DAILY TROPHY 3.9% 25.36 2
9 3 SMART FIGHTER 3.7% 27.17 9
10 10 PRECIOUS HILL 1.0% 95.89 12
11 9 BEAUTY FORMULA 0.8% 123.83 11
12 4 SPEEDY TRIDENT 0.8% 126.34 8
FASHION LEGENDMR ENERGIA — wonMAGNIACYEE CHEONG RAIDERSUNNY DARLINGTHUNDER BLINKSIGHT HAPPYDAILY TROPHYSMART FIGHTERPRECIOUS HILLBEAUTY FORMULASPEEDY TRIDENT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 22.5

PLACE

1 13

5 36.5

7 43

QUINELLA

1,7 233.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 59.5

1,7 87.5

5,7 310

FORECAST

1,7 324

TIERCE

1,7,5 1,979

TRIO

1,5,7 635

FIRST 4

1,2,5,7 570

QUARTET

1,7,5,2 9,299

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,11,12/1,5,7 22,756

2ND DOUBLE

1/1 73

1/7 171