Sha Tin · 2025-07-05 · 19:36
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly BK/CP 1.47.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 2.2 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B- K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 21.0 | HD |
| 3 | 13 | KASA PAPA TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 13 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | TIMES TABLE Closed strongly CP-/B1 J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 5 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | WUKONG JEWELLERY Closed strongly P-/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 11 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | CELESTIAL PATCH B1 A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 1 | 8.8 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY SR C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 4 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | YOUTH POWER Led early B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 12 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | VIVA TASTE B/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 57.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | RADIANT SWIFT B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 9 | 196.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | SMILING EMPEROR V/XB A Atzeni · K H Ting | A Atzeni | K H Ting | 2 | 16.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 6 | 19.0 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-05 was Class 4 over 1800m. FORTUNE BOY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by HD, with FOREVER FOLKS second and KASA PAPA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FORTUNE BOY | 42.3% | 2.37 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | SMILING EMPEROR | 10.0% | 10.05 | 12 |
| 3 | 4 | TIMES TABLE | 8.5% | 11.79 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | CELESTIAL PATCH | 6.3% | 15.93 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | BEAUTY VIVA | 5.9% | 16.96 | 6 |
| 6 | 13 | KASA PAPA | 5.7% | 17.39 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 5.1% | 19.68 | 13 |
| 8 | 8 | YOUTH POWER | 4.6% | 21.82 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | WUKONG JEWELLERY | 4.1% | 24.28 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 3.1% | 32.30 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | FOREVER FOLKS | 2.7% | 36.89 | 2 |
| 12 | 5 | VIVA TASTE | 1.2% | 83.97 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | RADIANT SWIFT | 0.6% | 164.28 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 22.5
PLACE
3 13
11 52
13 44
QUINELLA
3,11 271.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 117.5
3,13 64.5
11,13 463
FORECAST
3,11 475
TIERCE
3,11,13 4,370
TRIO
3,11,13 1,166
FIRST 4
3,4,11,13 3,373
QUARTET
3,11,13,4 39,536
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/3 320.5
1/11 718.5