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Sha Tin · 2025-07-05 · 12:10

Race 9

Class 3 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-05 was Class 3 over 1200m. MAGNIFIQUE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with RIGHTEOUS ARION second and AKASHVANI third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.08.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 MAGNIFIQUE 1.08.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 3 1.7 N
2 5 RIGHTEOUS ARION TT A Badel · A S Cruz 5 12.0 N
3 8 AKASHVANI H Bentley · D A Hayes 10 7.1 1/2
4 3 LIFELINE EXPRESS E J Orman · J Size 2 6.7 1-1/2
5 9 LUCKY TWIN STARS CP/XB K Teetan · K W Lui 9 50.0 1-1/2
6 10 NORTHERN FIRE BALL H/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 12 71.0 2
7 1 GUMMY GUMMY B L Ferraris · T P Yung 1 8.9 2-3/4
8 11 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA M F Poon · K H Ting 8 64.0 5
9 12 CHEVAL VICTORIOUS CP-/XB-/B1/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte 7 171.0 5-3/4
10 4 SUPER LEGENDS B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 6 17.0 6-1/4
11 2 SYMBOL OF STRENGTH A Atzeni · F C Lor 4 69.0 6-1/2
12 7 SUN WUKONG C L Chau · W K Mo 11 112.0 9

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAGNIFIQUE2. RIGHTEOUS ARION+0.05L3. AKASHVANI+0.5L4. LIFELINE EXPRESS+1.5L5. LUCKY TWIN STARS+1.5L6. NORTHERN FIRE BALL+2L7. GUMMY GUMMY+2.75L8. FORTUNE SUPERNOVA+5L9. CHEVAL VICTORIOUS+5.75L10. SUPER LEGENDS+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MAGNIFIQUE (37.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 MAGNIFIQUE 37.7% 2.65 1
2 3 LIFELINE EXPRESS 13.2% 7.60 4
3 1 GUMMY GUMMY 9.2% 10.90 7
4 8 AKASHVANI 8.6% 11.67 3
5 4 SUPER LEGENDS 8.0% 12.57 10
6 5 RIGHTEOUS ARION 7.0% 14.24 2
7 2 SYMBOL OF STRENGTH 4.9% 20.23 11
8 7 SUN WUKONG 3.8% 26.17 12
9 10 NORTHERN FIRE BALL 2.7% 37.15 6
10 9 LUCKY TWIN STARS 2.7% 37.30 5
11 11 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA 1.6% 63.98 8
12 12 CHEVAL VICTORIOUS 0.7% 139.19 9
MAGNIFIQUE — wonLIFELINE EXPRESSGUMMY GUMMYAKASHVANISUPER LEGENDSRIGHTEOUS ARIONSYMBOL OF STRENGTHSUN WUKONGNORTHERN FIRE BALLLUCKY TWIN STARSFORTUNE SUPERNOVACHEVAL VICTORIOUS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 17

PLACE

5 22.5

6 11.5

8 20.5

QUINELLA

5,6 80.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 33

5,8 74.5

6,8 25

FORECAST

6,5 105

TIERCE

6,5,8 412

TRIO

5,6,8 131

FIRST 4

3,5,6,8 110

QUARTET

6,5,8,3 1,325

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,11,13/5,6,8 25,971

8TH DOUBLE

3/5 43.5

3/6 39.5