Sha Tin · 2025-07-05 · 10:35
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-05 was Class 4 over 1400m. ENDUED, ridden by H Bowman and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with COLOURFUL WINNER second and FORERUNNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite CALIFORNIA BAY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ENDUED Closed strongly V/TT 1.21.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 4 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | COLOURFUL WINNER Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 1 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA BAY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | LUCKY MAN Closed strongly BO/H K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 7 | 5.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | STRANGE ALERT Closed strongly A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 5 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | AEROINVINCIBLE H/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 3 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | BEAUTY LIVE B/TT E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 10 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | RATTAN GALAXY Closed strongly TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 13 | 128.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | DRAGON SUNRISE Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 9 | 44.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | CHAMPION METHOD Led early B/TT2 H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 6 | 81.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | GOR GOR TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 12 | 205.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 7 | AMAZING DUCK CP/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 8 | 18.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 5 | MAGIC COSMOS K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 14 | 191.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 25.8% | 3.88 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | ENDUED | 15.0% | 6.65 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | LUCKY MAN | 10.0% | 10.04 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | STRANGE ALERT | 8.8% | 11.41 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA BAY | 7.7% | 13.07 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | FORERUNNER | 7.1% | 14.08 | 3 |
| 7 | 13 | BEAUTY LIVE | 6.8% | 14.63 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 6.0% | 16.78 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | AMAZING DUCK | 5.3% | 18.94 | 13 |
| 10 | 14 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 3.1% | 32.69 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | CHAMPION METHOD | 1.5% | 65.37 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | GOR GOR | 1.0% | 95.46 | 12 |
| 13 | 5 | MAGIC COSMOS | 1.0% | 97.64 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | RATTAN GALAXY | 1.0% | 102.32 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 58.5
PLACE
3 34.5
4 21
12 19.5
QUINELLA
4,12 162
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 101.5
3,12 106
4,12 60
FORECAST
4,12 399
TIERCE
4,12,3 1,993
TRIO
3,4,12 412
FIRST 4
1,3,4,12 370
QUARTET
4,12,3,1 7,805
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
8,12/4 135
8,12/12 31.5