Sha Tin · 2025-07-05 · 10:05
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-05 was Class 4 over 1200m. KA YING RESILIENCE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with CLUB ACE second and LUCKY SYMPHONY third. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | KA YING RESILIENCE B/TT 1.09.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 3.6 | N |
| 2 | 11 | CLUB ACE B/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 5.9 | N |
| 3 | 1 | LUCKY SYMPHONY P-/H/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 9 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | HOT AIR BALLON H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 1 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | PATCH OF TIME L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | TOP TO SKY K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 43.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | JOYFUL TREASURE B-/XB K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 7 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | JUICY DRAGON CP1 J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 6 | 103.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE XB B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 12 | 9.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED TT1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 2 | AEROVOLANIC CP E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 11 | 8.6 | — |
| — | 8 | SPICY SPANGLE C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCKY SYMPHONY | 27.0% | 3.70 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | CLUB ACE | 19.2% | 5.21 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | KA YING RESILIENCE | 15.9% | 6.30 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | HOT AIR BALLON | 13.9% | 7.21 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | PATCH OF TIME | 8.3% | 12.11 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED | 6.3% | 15.81 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE | 4.5% | 22.19 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | JOYFUL TREASURE | 2.1% | 47.94 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | JUICY DRAGON | 2.1% | 48.49 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | TOP TO SKY | 0.8% | 124.24 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 36
PLACE
1 15.5
11 19.5
12 14.5
QUINELLA
11,12 90.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 41
1,12 30
11,12 34.5
FORECAST
12,11 189
TIERCE
12,11,1 571
TRIO
1,11,12 113
FIRST 4
1,5,11,12 278
QUARTET
12,11,1,5 4,800
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/7/8,12 1,064
1/7/11 408
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,8/1,8,11,12 6,722
4TH DOUBLE
7/8,12 305.5
7/11 166.5