跑馬地 · 2025-09-10 · 12:10
第 3場
2025-09-10跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1000米。由L Ferraris策騎、D J Whyte訓練的HARMONY FIRE勝出，贏出N。MASTER CHAMPION獲得亞軍；MOON ROCKET獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門MASTER CHAMPION跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HARMONY FIRE B/TT 0.57.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | MASTER CHAMPION CP-/TT- K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 3.4 | N |
| 3 | 2 | MOON ROCKET B1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 7.6 | N |
| 4 | 4 | GRAND NOVA E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 6.8 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | SERGEANT PEPPER K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 22.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER SIXTY H/P E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | PLENTIFUL XB/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY BOYS XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 4 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | THOUSAND CUPS TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 100.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 6 | 36.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | GALLANT REX TT D Probert · D A Hayes | D Probert | D A Hayes | 12 | 187.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | ROMANTIC PARTY B R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 7 | 147.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PLENTIFUL | 30.3% | 3.30 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | GRAND NOVA | 22.9% | 4.37 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER SIXTY | 10.0% | 10.05 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | HAPPY BOYS | 9.1% | 10.94 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | HARMONY FIRE | 7.6% | 13.20 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | MOON ROCKET | 6.9% | 14.49 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 4.4% | 22.82 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 2.9% | 34.87 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | MASTER CHAMPION | 1.8% | 54.92 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | THOUSAND CUPS | 1.7% | 59.02 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | ROMANTIC PARTY | 1.4% | 72.54 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | GALLANT REX | 1.0% | 96.55 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 103
PLACE
1 16.5
2 26
9 29.5
QUINELLA
1,9 186.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 65.5
1,9 70
2,9 136.5
FORECAST
9,1 452
TIERCE
9,1,2 3,324
TRIO
1,2,9 569
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 728
QUARTET
9,1,2,4 17,774
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
2/1 57
2/9 352.5