沙田 · 2025-10-04 · 06:05
第 3場
2025-10-04沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1650米。由L Ferraris策騎、D A Hayes訓練的PRECISION GOAL勝出。LUCK IS BACK獲得亞軍；RELIABLE PROFIT獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.7倍大熱門FIGHTING MACHINE跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PRECISION GOAL 一路領先 1:40.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 11 | 7.4 | — |
| 2 | 6 | LUCK IS BACK 後段發力 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | RELIABLE PROFIT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 6 | 31.0 | N |
| 4 | 13 | KASA PAPA 後段發力 A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 4 | 8.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | FASHION LEGEND Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 5 | 6.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LESLIE 後段發力 M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 10 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | SIGHT SUPREME 後段發力 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 13 | 9.3 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | VIEW ALL THINGS M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 5.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE 後段發力 C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 2 | 4.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | CELTIC TIMES A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 1 | 31.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | TOY SOLTERO 後段發力 D Probert · W Y So | D Probert | W Y So | 12 | 75.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 9 | 52.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | CHARMING STEED E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 14 | 20.0 | 27 |
| 14 | 7 | BILLION TWO K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 134.0 | 30-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FASHION LEGEND | 17.9% | 5.59 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | PRECISION GOAL | 15.3% | 6.55 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | KASA PAPA | 12.7% | 7.89 | 4 |
| 4 | 14 | VIEW ALL THINGS | 11.2% | 8.91 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | SIGHT SUPREME | 8.8% | 11.39 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | CELTIC TIMES | 6.7% | 15.00 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | LESLIE | 5.2% | 19.27 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 4.6% | 21.72 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 4.4% | 22.73 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | CHARMING STEED | 4.3% | 23.29 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 3.2% | 31.12 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | LUCK IS BACK | 3.1% | 31.94 | 2 |
| 13 | 10 | TOY SOLTERO | 1.6% | 61.57 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | BILLION TWO | 1.1% | 94.89 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 74
PLACE
1 25
4 81
6 30.5
QUINELLA
1,6 444.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 312.5
1,6 155.5
4,6 603
FORECAST
1,6 852
TIERCE
1,6,4 26,246
TRIO
1,4,6 5,187
FIRST 4
1,4,6,13 7,208
QUARTET
1,6,4,13 152,565
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
8/1 2,117
8/6 1,546