沙田 · 2025-10-04 · 06:32
第 4場
2025-10-04沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的STRATHPEFFER勝出。YOUNG BRAVO獲得亞軍；AUDACIOUS PURSUIT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER 後段發力 1:21.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.7 | — |
| 2 | 8 | YOUNG BRAVO 後段發力 J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 2 | 77.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | AUDACIOUS PURSUIT 後段發力 L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 7.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER 後段發力 C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 10 | 8.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | PATCH OF WATCH 早段領放 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 9 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | ROMAN CROWN 後段發力 B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 11 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | NEWBORN MIRACLE A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 6 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED 後段發力 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | BEAUTY MISSILE 後段發力 K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 13 | 5.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SECOND TO NONE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 33.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SHINYU KOKOROE D Probert · D A Hayes | D Probert | D A Hayes | 14 | 109.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | RAGGA BOMB R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 12 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 4 | SALUTE KING PRAWN 後段發力 E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 8 | 59.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | SMILING FALCON H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 40.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER | 23.6% | 4.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER | 13.9% | 7.18 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | ROMAN CROWN | 13.6% | 7.35 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | AUDACIOUS PURSUIT | 8.9% | 11.22 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED | 8.2% | 12.19 | 8 |
| 6 | 13 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 6.5% | 15.31 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | NEWBORN MIRACLE | 5.6% | 17.77 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | SECOND TO NONE | 4.6% | 21.97 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | SALUTE KING PRAWN | 3.4% | 29.05 | 13 |
| 10 | 14 | PATCH OF WATCH | 3.4% | 29.51 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | RAGGA BOMB | 2.8% | 35.24 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | SMILING FALCON | 2.5% | 40.54 | 14 |
| 13 | 8 | YOUNG BRAVO | 1.6% | 61.64 | 2 |
| 14 | 2 | SHINYU KOKOROE | 1.2% | 81.59 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 27
PLACE
6 28.5
8 138
12 12
QUINELLA
8,12 620.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 655.5
6,12 48.5
8,12 283
FORECAST
12,8 1,520
TIERCE
12,8,6 8,556
TRIO
6,8,12 1,810
FIRST 4
1,6,8,12 2,864
QUARTET
12,8,6,1 65,184
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,6/6,8,12 911,987
3RD DOUBLE
1/8 1,144
1/12 289