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Sha Tin · 2025-10-04 · 06:32

Race 4

Class 4 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-04 was Class 4 over 1400m. STRATHPEFFER, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won, with YOUNG BRAVO second and AUDACIOUS PURSUIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1:21.58
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly 1:21.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 2.7 —
2 8 YOUNG BRAVO Closed strongly J Orman · D J Hall 2 77.0 1-1/4
3 6 AUDACIOUS PURSUIT Closed strongly L Ferraris · C Fownes 5 7.8 1-1/2
4 1 FUN TOGETHER Closed strongly C L Chau · C W Chang 10 8.2 1-1/2
5 14 PATCH OF WATCH Led early M F Poon · K L Man 9 22.0 2
6 9 ROMAN CROWN Closed strongly B Avdulla · P C Ng 11 12.0 2-1/4
7 11 NEWBORN MIRACLE A Atzeni · P F Yiu 6 12.0 2-3/4
8 5 ABSOLUTE AWAKENED Closed strongly A Badel · F C Lor 3 10.0 3-1/2
9 13 BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly K Teetan · B Crawford 13 5.7 4-1/4
10 10 SECOND TO NONE C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 33.0 5-1/4
11 2 SHINYU KOKOROE D Probert · D A Hayes 14 109.0 5-3/4
12 3 RAGGA BOMB R Kingscote · D Eustace 12 44.0 6
13 4 SALUTE KING PRAWN Closed strongly E C W Wong · C S Shum 8 59.0 9-3/4
14 7 SMILING FALCON H Bentley · K H Ting 7 40.0 11

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STRATHPEFFER—2. YOUNG BRAVO+1.25L3. AUDACIOUS PURSUIT+1.5L4. FUN TOGETHER+1.5L5. PATCH OF WATCH+2L6. ROMAN CROWN+2.25L7. NEWBORN MIRACLE+2.75L8. ABSOLUTE AWAKENED+3.5L9. BEAUTY MISSILE+4.25L10. SECOND TO NONE+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick STRATHPEFFER (23.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 STRATHPEFFER 23.6% 4.23 1
2 1 FUN TOGETHER 13.9% 7.18 4
3 9 ROMAN CROWN 13.6% 7.35 6
4 6 AUDACIOUS PURSUIT 8.9% 11.22 3
5 5 ABSOLUTE AWAKENED 8.2% 12.19 8
6 13 BEAUTY MISSILE 6.5% 15.31 9
7 11 NEWBORN MIRACLE 5.6% 17.77 7
8 10 SECOND TO NONE 4.6% 21.97 10
9 4 SALUTE KING PRAWN 3.4% 29.05 13
10 14 PATCH OF WATCH 3.4% 29.51 5
11 3 RAGGA BOMB 2.8% 35.24 12
12 7 SMILING FALCON 2.5% 40.54 14
13 8 YOUNG BRAVO 1.6% 61.64 2
14 2 SHINYU KOKOROE 1.2% 81.59 11
STRATHPEFFER — wonFUN TOGETHERROMAN CROWNAUDACIOUS PURSUITABSOLUTE AWAKENEDBEAUTY MISSILENEWBORN MIRACLESECOND TO NONESALUTE KING PRAWNPATCH OF WATCHRAGGA BOMBSMILING FALCONYOUNG BRAVOSHINYU KOKOROE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 27

PLACE

6 28.5

8 138

12 12

QUINELLA

8,12 620.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 655.5

6,12 48.5

8,12 283

FORECAST

12,8 1,520

TIERCE

12,8,6 8,556

TRIO

6,8,12 1,810

FIRST 4

1,6,8,12 2,864

QUARTET

12,8,6,1 65,184

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,6/6,8,12 911,987

3RD DOUBLE

1/8 1,144

1/12 289

← Race 3 Race 5 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99