Sha Tin · 2025-10-04 · 05:05
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-04 was Class 5 over 1650m. YODA'S CHOICE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by P C Ng, won, with NIGHT PUROSANGUE second and VIVA CHALEUR third. The winner led throughout. The 2.0 favourite VIVA CHALEUR finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | YODA'S CHOICE Wire to wire 1:39.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 1 | 7.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE Closed strongly B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 8 | 9.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 2.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | EURO ROCKS Closed strongly C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 9 | 9.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | GO GO GO Closed strongly D Probert · W Y So | D Probert | W Y So | 4 | 33.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | LOADED WITH FLUKE P N Wong · K H Ting | P N Wong | K H Ting | 11 | 46.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | ALL EYES ON ME Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 147.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | MR ALADDIN Closed strongly H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 10 | 30.0 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | COOL BLUE Closed strongly M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 22.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | TEAM HAPPY Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 15.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | VERBIER E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 20.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 10 | SPORTIC WARRIOR H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 12 | 191.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | SPANGLE FORTUNE Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 13 | 8.6 | ML |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | VIVA CHALEUR | 15.2% | 6.56 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 12.9% | 7.76 | 13 |
| 3 | 4 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE | 12.3% | 8.13 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | EURO ROCKS | 11.5% | 8.73 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | COOL BLUE | 9.6% | 10.41 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | VERBIER | 8.8% | 11.40 | 11 |
| 7 | 13 | MR ALADDIN | 8.7% | 11.45 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | TEAM HAPPY | 7.6% | 13.17 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | GO GO GO | 4.9% | 20.49 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | YODA'S CHOICE | 3.0% | 33.26 | 1 |
| 11 | 1 | LOADED WITH FLUKE | 2.5% | 40.58 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | ALL EYES ON ME | 1.6% | 63.64 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | SPORTIC WARRIOR | 1.5% | 67.10 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 70.5
PLACE
3 19.5
4 24
7 12.5
QUINELLA
3,4 326
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 99.5
3,7 35
4,7 45.5
FORECAST
3,4 526
TIERCE
3,4,7 1,353
TRIO
3,4,7 171
FIRST 4
3,4,7,9 408
QUARTET
3,4,7,9 11,464