Sha Tin · 2025-10-04 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | MIGHTY STRENGTH Closed strongly 1:47.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 9 | 56.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY Closed strongly Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | ARIEL E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 38.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | WROTE A NEW PAGE H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 13 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 1 | 45.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | WITHALLMYFAITH Led early M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 25.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | MONEY CATCHER K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | CAMBRIDGE Closed strongly H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 12 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 11 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | S J TOURBILLON K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 12 | 6 | ENTHRALLED Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 14 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 13 | 1 | BRAVEHEARTS M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 3 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | KING OF SELECTION A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 2 | 99.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-04 was Class 3 over 1800m. MIGHTY STRENGTH, ridden by H T Mo and trained by P F Yiu, won, with GENTLEMEN LEGACY second and ARIEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite GENTLEMEN LEGACY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY | 37.0% | 2.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | JOY OF SPRING | 14.0% | 7.12 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | CAMBRIDGE | 8.2% | 12.17 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 7.6% | 13.17 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | BRAVEHEARTS | 5.2% | 19.10 | 13 |
| 6 | 10 | MONEY CATCHER | 4.2% | 23.59 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | ENTHRALLED | 3.8% | 26.62 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.5% | 28.87 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | ARIEL | 3.5% | 28.89 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | AESTHETICISM | 2.8% | 35.17 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 2.7% | 36.47 | 1 |
| 12 | 13 | KING OF SELECTION | 2.6% | 37.87 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 2.6% | 38.36 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | WITHALLMYFAITH | 2.1% | 47.40 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 561.5
PLACE
4 13
7 92.5
14 124.5
QUINELLA
4,14 694
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 181
4,14 244
7,14 2,081.5
FORECAST
14,4 2,307
TIERCE
14,4,7 57,253
TRIO
4,7,14 7,007
FIRST 4
4,7,8,14 13,445
QUARTET
14,4,7,8 512,719
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
11/3,8/4 80
11/3,8/14 5,886
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7,8/4,7,14 81,293
9TH DOUBLE
3,8/4 10.5
3,8/14 564
SIX UP
2,14/4,13/4,9/7,11/3,4,8/4,14 1,635
14/4/9/11/3,8/14 743,458
2 [D A Hayes] —
7 [L Ferraris] —