Sha Tin · 2025-10-04 · 08:40
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-04 was Class 2 over 1650m. SING DRAGON, ridden by K Teetan and trained by M Newnham, won, with TALENTS AMBITION second and MOJAVE DESERT third. The winner led throughout. The 3.2 favourite MOJAVE DESERT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SING DRAGON Wire to wire 1:38.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 9 | 4.4 | — |
| 2 | 7 | TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 2 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | MOJAVE DESERT Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 7 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SOLEIL FIGHTER Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | NOISY BOY Closed strongly C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 6 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | CAPITAL DELIGHT Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | KEEFY M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 13.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | FALLON M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 3 | 22.0 | 13 |
| 10 | 1 | CHILL CHIBI H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 35.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 71.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | MR ASCENDENCY R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 8 | 52.0 | 18-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MOJAVE DESERT | 27.9% | 3.59 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | TALENTS AMBITION | 20.8% | 4.80 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 10.1% | 9.94 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | CHILL CHIBI | 7.6% | 13.11 | 10 |
| 5 | 10 | FALLON | 7.6% | 13.21 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | NOISY BOY | 5.5% | 18.10 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | SING DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.24 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 3.9% | 25.59 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.7% | 26.93 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | KEEFY | 3.2% | 31.41 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | HELENE FEELING | 2.8% | 36.13 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | MR ASCENDENCY | 2.2% | 44.75 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 44.5
PLACE
7 14.5
11 21
12 14.5
QUINELLA
7,11 118.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 43.5
7,12 27
11,12 36
FORECAST
11,7 272
TIERCE
11,7,12 791
TRIO
7,11,12 118
FIRST 4
4,7,11,12 145
QUARTET
11,7,12,4 4,212
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,9/7,11,12 30,955
7TH DOUBLE
9/7 41
9/11 803