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Sha Tin · 2025-10-04 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 4 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:21.67
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 ETALON OR Closed strongly 1:21.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P F Yiu 1 2.1 —
2 13 FIGHT TIME Closed strongly P N Wong · D J Hall 4 6.4 3/4
3 10 BETTER AND BETTER Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor 7 9.0 1-1/4
4 1 BEAUTY GLORY Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 5.1 1-1/2
5 8 OCEAN IMPACT Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Whyte 9 37.0 2
6 3 SHANGHAI STYLE Closed strongly E C W Wong · C S Shum 5 32.0 3
7 6 FIT FOR BEAUTY B Avdulla · J Size 14 13.0 4-1/4
8 14 BLUE BARON K Teetan · W K Mo 13 54.0 4-1/2
9 7 GENIUS BABY M L Yeung · D A Hayes 8 102.0 4-1/2
10 9 SUPER UNIVERSAL C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 12.0 4-3/4
11 5 SUPER LOVE Closed strongly C L Chau · C H Yip 12 116.0 4-3/4
12 11 SMART TRIO Closed strongly J Orman · C W Chang 10 243.0 7-1/2
13 12 YOUNG STRIKER K De Melo · W Y So 11 118.0 7-1/2
14 2 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA K C Leung · K H Ting 2 61.0 9-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-04 was Class 4 over 1400m. ETALON OR, ridden by A Badel and trained by P F Yiu, won, with FIGHT TIME second and BETTER AND BETTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ETALON OR—2. FIGHT TIME+0.75L3. BETTER AND BETTER+1.25L4. BEAUTY GLORY+1.5L5. OCEAN IMPACT+2L6. SHANGHAI STYLE+3L7. FIT FOR BEAUTY+4.25L8. BLUE BARON+4.5L9. GENIUS BABY+4.5L10. SUPER UNIVERSAL+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ETALON OR (31.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 ETALON OR 31.1% 3.22 1
2 10 BETTER AND BETTER 12.2% 8.17 3
3 1 BEAUTY GLORY 11.3% 8.84 4
4 13 FIGHT TIME 9.8% 10.23 2
5 9 SUPER UNIVERSAL 9.3% 10.71 10
6 6 FIT FOR BEAUTY 4.9% 20.37 7
7 8 OCEAN IMPACT 4.0% 25.06 5
8 14 BLUE BARON 3.8% 26.64 8
9 3 SHANGHAI STYLE 3.5% 28.28 6
10 7 GENIUS BABY 3.0% 33.28 9
11 5 SUPER LOVE 2.9% 34.42 11
12 2 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA 1.5% 66.82 14
13 11 SMART TRIO 1.4% 69.80 12
14 12 YOUNG STRIKER 1.2% 80.38 13
ETALON OR — wonBETTER AND BETTERBEAUTY GLORYFIGHT TIMESUPER UNIVERSALFIT FOR BEAUTYOCEAN IMPACTBLUE BARONSHANGHAI STYLEGENIUS BABYSUPER LOVEFORTUNE SUPERNOVASMART TRIOYOUNG STRIKER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 21

PLACE

4 11

10 25.5

13 19.5

QUINELLA

4,13 63

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 42

4,13 24.5

10,13 78

FORECAST

4,13 109

TIERCE

4,13,10 653

TRIO

4,10,13 179

FIRST 4

1,4,10,13 119

QUARTET

4,13,10,1 1,892

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,11,14/4,10,13 8,633

5TH DOUBLE

14/4 302.5

14/13 89.5

TRIPLE TRIO

6,8,12/2,11,14/4,10,13 946,216

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

6,8,12/2,11,14/Any Combination 18,924