Sha Tin · 2025-10-04 · 07:40
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-04 was Class 4 over 1400m. ETALON OR, ridden by A Badel and trained by P F Yiu, won, with FIGHT TIME second and BETTER AND BETTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ETALON OR Closed strongly 1:21.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.1 | — |
| 2 | 13 | FIGHT TIME Closed strongly P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | BETTER AND BETTER Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 9.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | OCEAN IMPACT Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 37.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE Closed strongly E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 5 | 32.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | FIT FOR BEAUTY B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 14 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | BLUE BARON K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 13 | 54.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | GENIUS BABY M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 102.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPER UNIVERSAL C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPER LOVE Closed strongly C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 12 | 116.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SMART TRIO Closed strongly J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | 10 | 243.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | YOUNG STRIKER K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 11 | 118.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 61.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ETALON OR | 31.1% | 3.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | BETTER AND BETTER | 12.2% | 8.17 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY | 11.3% | 8.84 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | FIGHT TIME | 9.8% | 10.23 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER UNIVERSAL | 9.3% | 10.71 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | FIT FOR BEAUTY | 4.9% | 20.37 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | OCEAN IMPACT | 4.0% | 25.06 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | BLUE BARON | 3.8% | 26.64 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 3.5% | 28.28 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | GENIUS BABY | 3.0% | 33.28 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPER LOVE | 2.9% | 34.42 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA | 1.5% | 66.82 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | SMART TRIO | 1.4% | 69.80 | 12 |
| 14 | 12 | YOUNG STRIKER | 1.2% | 80.38 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 21
PLACE
4 11
10 25.5
13 19.5
QUINELLA
4,13 63
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 42
4,13 24.5
10,13 78
FORECAST
4,13 109
TIERCE
4,13,10 653
TRIO
4,10,13 179
FIRST 4
1,4,10,13 119
QUARTET
4,13,10,1 1,892
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,11,14/4,10,13 8,633
5TH DOUBLE
14/4 302.5
14/13 89.5
TRIPLE TRIO
6,8,12/2,11,14/4,10,13 946,216
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,8,12/2,11,14/Any Combination 18,924