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Sha Tin · 2025-10-04 · 22:50

Race 9

Class 3 1200m Course B+2 12 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-04 was Class 3 over 1200m. BULB GENERAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won, with INFINITE RESOLVE second and LUCKY EIGHT third. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.

Result

Official · 1:08.24
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 BULB GENERAL 1:08.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards 12 1.5
2 4 INFINITE RESOLVE L Ferraris · M Newnham 6 9.9 2-3/4
3 7 LUCKY EIGHT E C W Wong · P F Yiu 1 8.9 3-1/4
4 11 HEALTHY HEALTHY H Bentley · P C Ng 10 61.0 4-1/4
5 12 NEZHA M F Poon · D J Hall 11 131.0 4-1/4
6 2 THE BOOM BOX C Y Ho · W Y So 7 18.0 4-1/2
7 6 LO PAN SPIRIT R Kingscote · K H Ting 3 13.0 4-3/4
8 9 FRIENDS OF SHAJING C L Chau · C S Shum 2 33.0 5-3/4
9 1 CHATEAUNEUF H Bowman · D A Hayes 9 25.0 6-1/4
10 13 TACTICAL COMMAND A Badel · M Newnham 4 39.0 6-1/2
11 5 JUMBO TREASURE K C Leung · W K Mo 8 11.0 6-1/2
12 10 STAR SATYR Y L Chung · A S Cruz 13 110.0 10-1/4
8 BEAUTY INFINITY K Teetan · B Crawford

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BULB GENERAL2. INFINITE RESOLVE+2.75L3. LUCKY EIGHT+3.25L4. HEALTHY HEALTHY+4.25L5. NEZHA+4.25L6. THE BOOM BOX+4.5L7. LO PAN SPIRIT+4.75L8. FRIENDS OF SHAJING+5.75L9. CHATEAUNEUF+6.25L10. TACTICAL COMMAND+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BULB GENERAL (45.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 BULB GENERAL 45.2% 2.21 1
2 4 INFINITE RESOLVE 6.8% 14.72 2
3 6 LO PAN SPIRIT 6.6% 15.24 7
4 9 FRIENDS OF SHAJING 6.1% 16.26 8
5 2 THE BOOM BOX 5.6% 17.72 6
6 1 CHATEAUNEUF 5.5% 18.21 9
7 5 JUMBO TREASURE 5.3% 18.90 11
8 7 LUCKY EIGHT 5.3% 18.94 3
9 13 TACTICAL COMMAND 4.7% 21.12 10
10 10 STAR SATYR 4.0% 24.85 12
11 11 HEALTHY HEALTHY 3.6% 27.57 4
12 12 NEZHA 1.2% 84.16 5
BULB GENERAL — wonINFINITE RESOLVELO PAN SPIRITFRIENDS OF SHAJINGTHE BOOM BOXCHATEAUNEUFJUMBO TREASURELUCKY EIGHTTACTICAL COMMANDSTAR SATYRHEALTHY HEALTHYNEZHA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 15

PLACE

3 11.5

4 21

7 20

QUINELLA

3,4 63.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 32

3,7 27.5

4,7 77

FORECAST

3,4 72

TIERCE

3,4,7 354

TRIO

3,4,7 126

FIRST 4

3,4,7,11 773

QUARTET

3,4,7,11 4,602

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

11/3,8 131

11/4 115