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Sha Tin · 2025-10-04 · 07:05

Race 5

Class 4 1200m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-04 was Class 4 over 1200m. RUBY SAILING, ridden by P N Wong and trained by K L Man, won, with REZEKI second and CALIFORNIA BLITZ third. The 3.9 favourite LAHORE finished 11th.

Result

Official · 1:08.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 RUBY SAILING 1:08.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · K L Man 3 9.7
2 2 REZEKI J Orman · D J Hall 4 4.8 SH
3 11 CALIFORNIA BLITZ C L Chau · W K Mo 5 5.6 N
4 1 KING PROFIT E C W Wong · C S Shum 9 24.0 1-1/2
5 12 GLACIATED K Teetan · P C Ng 8 11.0 1-3/4
6 10 SAME TO YOU A Badel · M Newnham 2 10.0 3-1/4
7 3 DECISION LINK K De Melo · W Y So 14 12.0 3-1/2
8 9 MULTIDUTCH R Kingscote · A S Cruz 1 107.0 4-1/2
9 8 GLORIOUS KINGDOM M F Poon · P F Yiu 6 69.0 4-1/2
10 5 KYRUS TREASURE D Probert · D Eustace 7 30.0 6-1/4
11 6 LAHORE Z Purton · J Richards 11 3.9 6-1/4
12 13 HANDSOME BLOND M Chadwick · C H Yip 10 106.0 6-1/2
13 7 AWESOME TREASURE M L Yeung · D A Hayes 12 11.0 9-1/4
14 4 FORTUNE KINGO H Bentley · K H Ting 13 37.0 17-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RUBY SAILING2. REZEKI+0.1L3. CALIFORNIA BLITZ+0.05L4. KING PROFIT+1.5L5. GLACIATED+1.75L6. SAME TO YOU+3.25L7. DECISION LINK+3.5L8. MULTIDUTCH+4.5L9. GLORIOUS KINGDOM+4.5L10. KYRUS TREASURE+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CALIFORNIA BLITZ (26.4%) finished 3rd — the winner RUBY SAILING was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 CALIFORNIA BLITZ 26.4% 3.79 3
2 6 LAHORE 14.9% 6.70 11
3 14 RUBY SAILING 10.5% 9.52 1
4 10 SAME TO YOU 7.6% 13.09 6
5 7 AWESOME TREASURE 6.3% 15.81 13
6 12 GLACIATED 6.2% 16.03 5
7 3 DECISION LINK 5.5% 18.02 7
8 4 FORTUNE KINGO 5.1% 19.66 14
9 1 KING PROFIT 4.6% 21.62 4
10 5 KYRUS TREASURE 3.8% 26.64 10
11 2 REZEKI 3.6% 27.90 2
12 8 GLORIOUS KINGDOM 2.3% 43.40 9
13 9 MULTIDUTCH 1.8% 56.50 8
14 13 HANDSOME BLOND 1.3% 74.74 12
CALIFORNIA BLITZLAHORERUBY SAILING — wonSAME TO YOUAWESOME TREASUREGLACIATEDDECISION LINKFORTUNE KINGOKING PROFITKYRUS TREASUREREZEKIGLORIOUS KINGDOMMULTIDUTCHHANDSOME BLOND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 97.5

PLACE

2 16.5

11 18.5

14 34.5

QUINELLA

2,14 276.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,11 59.5

2,14 97

11,14 103

FORECAST

14,2 554

TIERCE

14,2,11 3,008

TRIO

2,11,14 528

FIRST 4

1,2,11,14 1,864

QUARTET

14,2,11,1 49,815

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

1/12/2 394

1/12/14 3,102

4TH DOUBLE

12/2 57.5

12/14 314.5