沙田 · 2025-10-04 · 09:50
第 10場
2025-10-04沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1800米。由H T Mo策騎、P F Yiu訓練的MIGHTY STRENGTH勝出。GENTLEMEN LEGACY獲得亞軍；ARIEL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.5倍大熱門GENTLEMEN LEGACY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | MIGHTY STRENGTH 後段發力 1:47.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 9 | 56.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY 後段發力 Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | ARIEL E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 38.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | WROTE A NEW PAGE H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 13 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 1 | 45.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | WITHALLMYFAITH 早段領放 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 25.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | MONEY CATCHER K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | JOY OF SPRING 後段發力 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | CAMBRIDGE 後段發力 H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 12 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | ATULLIBIGEAL 後段發力 J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 11 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | S J TOURBILLON K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 12 | 6 | ENTHRALLED 後段發力 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 14 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 13 | 1 | BRAVEHEARTS M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 3 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | KING OF SELECTION A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 2 | 99.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY | 37.0% | 2.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | JOY OF SPRING | 14.0% | 7.12 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | CAMBRIDGE | 8.2% | 12.17 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 7.6% | 13.17 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | BRAVEHEARTS | 5.2% | 19.10 | 13 |
| 6 | 10 | MONEY CATCHER | 4.2% | 23.59 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | ENTHRALLED | 3.8% | 26.62 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.5% | 28.87 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | ARIEL | 3.5% | 28.89 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | AESTHETICISM | 2.8% | 35.17 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 2.7% | 36.47 | 1 |
| 12 | 13 | KING OF SELECTION | 2.6% | 37.87 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 2.6% | 38.36 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | WITHALLMYFAITH | 2.1% | 47.40 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 561.5
PLACE
4 13
7 92.5
14 124.5
QUINELLA
4,14 694
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 181
4,14 244
7,14 2,081.5
FORECAST
14,4 2,307
TIERCE
14,4,7 57,253
TRIO
4,7,14 7,007
FIRST 4
4,7,8,14 13,445
QUARTET
14,4,7,8 512,719
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
11/3,8/4 80
11/3,8/14 5,886
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7,8/4,7,14 81,293
9TH DOUBLE
3,8/4 10.5
3,8/14 564
SIX UP
2,14/4,13/4,9/7,11/3,4,8/4,14 1,635
14/4/9/11/3,8/14 743,458
2 [D A Hayes] —
7 [L Ferraris] —