沙田 · 2025-10-19 · 08:15
第 7場
2025-10-19沙田第7場，Group 2，途程1600米。由A Badel策騎、M Newnham訓練的MY WISH勝出。COPARTNER PRANCE獲得亞軍；BEAUTY JOY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以1.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MY WISH 後段發力 1:32.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 11 | 1.4 | — |
| 2 | 7 | COPARTNER PRANCE 早段領放 K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 10 | 37.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | BEAUTY JOY 後段發力 K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 14 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | STRAIGHT ARRON 後段發力 E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 1 | 80.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | MOMENTS IN TIME H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 106.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | GALAXY PATCH 後段發力 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 9 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY TOGETHER K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | CAP FERRAT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | BEAUTY ETERNAL 後段發力 M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 5 | 97.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | RED LION R Kingscote · J Size | R Kingscote | J Size | 13 | 56.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | VICTOR THE WINNER 後段發力 Y L Chung · D Eustace | Y L Chung | D Eustace | 12 | 121.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 6.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | ENSUED A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 106.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | SWORD POINT D Probert · F C Lor | D Probert | F C Lor | 7 | 243.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MY WISH | 32.4% | 3.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 20.5% | 4.88 | 12 |
| 3 | 5 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 5.9% | 16.92 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | GALAXY PATCH | 5.8% | 17.16 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | CAP FERRAT | 5.5% | 18.21 | 8 |
| 6 | 11 | ENSUED | 5.2% | 19.23 | 13 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 4.6% | 21.51 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY JOY | 3.8% | 26.65 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | RED LION | 3.2% | 31.40 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 3.1% | 31.87 | 2 |
| 11 | 13 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 2.9% | 34.07 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 2.6% | 38.56 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 2.5% | 39.72 | 5 |
| 14 | 12 | SWORD POINT | 1.9% | 52.39 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 14
PLACE
4 38.5
6 10.5
7 57
QUINELLA
6,7 195
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 42.5
4,7 361.5
6,7 64.5
FORECAST
6,7 252
TIERCE
6,7,4 2,114
TRIO
4,6,7 725
FIRST 4
4,5,6,7 6,087
QUARTET
6,7,4,5 58,552
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
8/6 81
8/7 349