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Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 16:13

Race 7

Group 2 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:32.55
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 MY WISH Closed strongly 1:32.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · M Newnham 11 1.4 —
2 7 COPARTNER PRANCE Led early K De Melo · K W Lui 10 37.0 1-1/4
3 4 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly K C Leung · A S Cruz 14 22.0 1-3/4
4 5 STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly E C W Wong · P F Yiu 1 80.0 2
5 14 MOMENTS IN TIME H Bentley · C S Shum 4 106.0 2-1/2
6 2 GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly C L Chau · P C Ng 9 10.0 2-3/4
7 8 HAPPY TOGETHER K Teetan · F C Lor 8 14.0 3-3/4
8 10 CAP FERRAT M L Yeung · K W Lui 3 19.0 4-1/4
9 9 BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly M Chadwick · J Size 5 97.0 4-1/4
10 3 RED LION R Kingscote · J Size 13 56.0 4-1/2
11 13 VICTOR THE WINNER Closed strongly Y L Chung · D Eustace 12 121.0 5-1/4
12 1 VOYAGE BUBBLE M F Poon · P F Yiu 6 6.7 5-1/2
13 11 ENSUED A Atzeni · J Size 2 106.0 8
14 12 SWORD POINT D Probert · F C Lor 7 243.0 9

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Group 2 over 1600m. MY WISH, ridden by A Badel and trained by M Newnham, won, with COPARTNER PRANCE second and BEAUTY JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MY WISH—2. COPARTNER PRANCE+1.25L3. BEAUTY JOY+1.75L4. STRAIGHT ARRON+2L5. MOMENTS IN TIME+2.5L6. GALAXY PATCH+2.75L7. HAPPY TOGETHER+3.75L8. CAP FERRAT+4.25L9. BEAUTY ETERNAL+4.25L10. RED LION+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MY WISH (32.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 MY WISH 32.4% 3.08 1
2 1 VOYAGE BUBBLE 20.5% 4.88 12
3 5 STRAIGHT ARRON 5.9% 16.92 4
4 2 GALAXY PATCH 5.8% 17.16 6
5 10 CAP FERRAT 5.5% 18.21 8
6 11 ENSUED 5.2% 19.23 13
7 8 HAPPY TOGETHER 4.6% 21.51 7
8 4 BEAUTY JOY 3.8% 26.65 3
9 3 RED LION 3.2% 31.40 10
10 7 COPARTNER PRANCE 3.1% 31.87 2
11 13 VICTOR THE WINNER 2.9% 34.07 11
12 9 BEAUTY ETERNAL 2.6% 38.56 9
13 14 MOMENTS IN TIME 2.5% 39.72 5
14 12 SWORD POINT 1.9% 52.39 14
MY WISH — wonVOYAGE BUBBLESTRAIGHT ARRONGALAXY PATCHCAP FERRATENSUEDHAPPY TOGETHERBEAUTY JOYRED LIONCOPARTNER PRANCEVICTOR THE WINNERBEAUTY ETERNALMOMENTS IN TIMESWORD POINT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 14

PLACE

4 38.5

6 10.5

7 57

QUINELLA

6,7 195

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 42.5

4,7 361.5

6,7 64.5

FORECAST

6,7 252

TIERCE

6,7,4 2,114

TRIO

4,6,7 725

FIRST 4

4,5,6,7 6,087

QUARTET

6,7,4,5 58,552

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

8/6 81

8/7 349