Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 08:15
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Group 2 over 1600m. MY WISH, ridden by A Badel and trained by M Newnham, won, with COPARTNER PRANCE second and BEAUTY JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MY WISH Closed strongly 1:32.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 11 | 1.4 | — |
| 2 | 7 | COPARTNER PRANCE Led early K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 10 | 37.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 14 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 1 | 80.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | MOMENTS IN TIME H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 106.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 9 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY TOGETHER K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | CAP FERRAT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 5 | 97.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | RED LION R Kingscote · J Size | R Kingscote | J Size | 13 | 56.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | VICTOR THE WINNER Closed strongly Y L Chung · D Eustace | Y L Chung | D Eustace | 12 | 121.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 6.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | ENSUED A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 106.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | SWORD POINT D Probert · F C Lor | D Probert | F C Lor | 7 | 243.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MY WISH | 32.4% | 3.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 20.5% | 4.88 | 12 |
| 3 | 5 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 5.9% | 16.92 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | GALAXY PATCH | 5.8% | 17.16 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | CAP FERRAT | 5.5% | 18.21 | 8 |
| 6 | 11 | ENSUED | 5.2% | 19.23 | 13 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 4.6% | 21.51 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY JOY | 3.8% | 26.65 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | RED LION | 3.2% | 31.40 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 3.1% | 31.87 | 2 |
| 11 | 13 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 2.9% | 34.07 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 2.6% | 38.56 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 2.5% | 39.72 | 5 |
| 14 | 12 | SWORD POINT | 1.9% | 52.39 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 14
PLACE
4 38.5
6 10.5
7 57
QUINELLA
6,7 195
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 42.5
4,7 361.5
6,7 64.5
FORECAST
6,7 252
TIERCE
6,7,4 2,114
TRIO
4,6,7 725
FIRST 4
4,5,6,7 6,087
QUARTET
6,7,4,5 58,552
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
8/6 81
8/7 349