Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 05:25
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Class 4 over 1000m. ROBOT LUCKY STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won, with CALIFORNIA BLITZ second and STRAIGHT TO GLORY third. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ROBOT LUCKY STAR 0:56.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 8 | 3.7 | — |
| 2 | 12 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 8.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | STRAIGHT TO GLORY K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 13 | 5.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | GIANT BALLON L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 9 | 72.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | ENJOY GOLF H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 1 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | SIGHT HERMOSO K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 48.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | PRESTIGE HALL H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 7.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | FLOWING RICHES M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 3.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SAME TO YOU A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 11 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | LITTLE MONSTER C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 3 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | FLASH STAR R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 4 | 85.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | THE PROMISE H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 2 | 105.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | SKY PHOENIX B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 14 | 70.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | MAGIC COSMOS E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 134.0 | 15-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ROBOT LUCKY STAR | 20.2% | 4.95 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | FLOWING RICHES | 17.8% | 5.61 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 16.1% | 6.21 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | PRESTIGE HALL | 8.1% | 12.27 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | STRAIGHT TO GLORY | 7.1% | 14.17 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | SAME TO YOU | 5.6% | 17.93 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | LITTLE MONSTER | 5.6% | 17.99 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | SKY PHOENIX | 3.8% | 26.11 | 13 |
| 9 | 10 | ENJOY GOLF | 3.5% | 28.79 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | SIGHT HERMOSO | 3.4% | 29.01 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | GIANT BALLON | 3.4% | 29.34 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | THE PROMISE | 2.9% | 34.70 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | MAGIC COSMOS | 1.3% | 74.80 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | FLASH STAR | 1.2% | 85.49 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 37
PLACE
5 16
9 19
12 26.5
QUINELLA
5,12 174
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 48.5
5,12 63.5
9,12 69.5
FORECAST
5,12 284
TIERCE
5,12,9 1,339
TRIO
5,9,12 249
FIRST 4
2,5,9,12 3,050
QUARTET
5,12,9,2 36,975
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
14/5 646
14/12 207
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,11,14/5,9,12 57,858