Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 06:00
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Class 4 over 1800m. SPECIAL HEDGE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C W Chang, won, with FIREFOOT second and SHARPEN BRIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite DOUBLE WIN finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly 1:46.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 8 | 12.0 | — |
| 2 | 14 | FIREFOOT Led early H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 6 | 7.1 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 37.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | CHARITY TOGETHER Closed strongly R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 14 | 122.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | OCEAN IMPACT Closed strongly K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 4 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | PACKING HURRICANE H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 13 | 73.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY VIVA Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 3.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | STAR BROSE A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 9 | 36.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MISSION STRIKE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | DOUBLE WIN Closed strongly K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 2.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 12 | 152.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | ILLUMINOUS J Orman · F C Lor | J Orman | F C Lor | 11 | 119.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 6 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 23.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 10 | PERFECT PAIRING B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 27.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY VIVA | 41.0% | 2.44 | 7 |
| 2 | 13 | DOUBLE WIN | 12.7% | 7.89 | 10 |
| 3 | 14 | FIREFOOT | 7.9% | 12.72 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | MISSION STRIKE | 6.5% | 15.42 | 9 |
| 5 | 12 | STAR BROSE | 5.1% | 19.71 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | FOREVER FOLKS | 4.1% | 24.30 | 13 |
| 7 | 2 | PACKING HURRICANE | 3.8% | 26.32 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | OCEAN IMPACT | 3.5% | 28.24 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 3.5% | 28.51 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | PERFECT PAIRING | 3.4% | 29.35 | 14 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON | 2.7% | 36.61 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | CHARITY TOGETHER | 2.2% | 45.18 | 4 |
| 13 | 1 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 2.2% | 45.55 | 3 |
| 14 | 5 | ILLUMINOUS | 1.4% | 69.48 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 124
PLACE
1 82
11 29.5
14 24
QUINELLA
11,14 385
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 626.5
1,14 694
11,14 98
FORECAST
11,14 831
TIERCE
11,14,1 34,195
TRIO
1,11,14 6,949
FIRST 4
1,4,11,14 46,418
QUARTET
11,14,1,4 698,334
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/11 662.5
5/14 80.5