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Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 17:23

Race 9

Class 3 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:20.93
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 GRACIOUS EXPRESS Closed strongly 1:20.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu 14 28.0 —
2 3 EVERYONE'S STAR Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor 10 5.3 1/2
3 5 HAROLD WIN Closed strongly C L Chau · K W Lui 2 4.8 2
4 9 OUTGATE Y L Chung · A S Cruz 13 17.0 3
5 12 STAR MAC Closed strongly R Kingscote · D A Hayes 7 10.0 3-1/4
6 1 BRILLIANT EXPRESS Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size 5 4.3 3-1/4
7 11 SMART AVENUE Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip 6 34.0 3-1/4
8 7 GHORGAN A Badel · K L Man 9 93.0 3-1/2
9 14 THOUSAND SPIRIT Led early L Hewitson · M Newnham 11 77.0 3-3/4
10 2 FLYING FORTRESS H Bentley · W K Mo 4 7.5 3-3/4
11 8 NEARLY FINE Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes 12 138.0 5-1/2
12 6 MASK RIDER M Chadwick · W Y So 3 44.0 5-3/4
13 13 KINGDOM OF RICHES M L Yeung · C S Shum 1 110.0 8-1/4
14 10 RIDING TOGETHER A Atzeni · D Eustace 8 5.7 18-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Class 3 over 1400m. GRACIOUS EXPRESS, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won, with EVERYONE'S STAR second and HAROLD WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite BRILLIANT EXPRESS finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GRACIOUS EXPRESS—2. EVERYONE'S STAR+0.5L3. HAROLD WIN+2L4. OUTGATE+3L5. STAR MAC+3.25L6. BRILLIANT EXPRESS+3.25L7. SMART AVENUE+3.25L8. GHORGAN+3.5L9. THOUSAND SPIRIT+3.75L10. FLYING FORTRESS+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick EVERYONE'S STAR (25.9%) finished 2nd — the winner GRACIOUS EXPRESS was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 EVERYONE'S STAR 25.9% 3.87 2
2 10 RIDING TOGETHER 14.1% 7.09 14
3 5 HAROLD WIN 13.6% 7.36 3
4 1 BRILLIANT EXPRESS 10.9% 9.20 6
5 9 OUTGATE 6.2% 16.06 4
6 12 STAR MAC 5.2% 19.21 5
7 2 FLYING FORTRESS 4.9% 20.51 10
8 4 GRACIOUS EXPRESS 4.7% 21.09 1
9 14 THOUSAND SPIRIT 3.3% 30.55 9
10 6 MASK RIDER 3.1% 32.20 12
11 11 SMART AVENUE 2.8% 35.71 7
12 8 NEARLY FINE 2.8% 36.09 11
13 7 GHORGAN 1.6% 62.11 8
14 13 KINGDOM OF RICHES 1.0% 103.90 13
EVERYONE'S STARRIDING TOGETHERHAROLD WINBRILLIANT EXPRESSOUTGATESTAR MACFLYING FORTRESSGRACIOUS EXPRESS — wonTHOUSAND SPIRITMASK RIDERSMART AVENUENEARLY FINEGHORGANKINGDOM OF RICHES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 280

PLACE

3 20.5

4 69.5

5 18

QUINELLA

3,4 846

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 233.5

3,5 46

4,5 215.5

FORECAST

4,3 2,351

TIERCE

4,3,5 8,807

TRIO

3,4,5 784

FIRST 4

3,4,5,9 2,960

QUARTET

4,3,5,9 104,377

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

2,8/3 32.5

2,8/4 685.5