沙田 · 2025-10-19 · 09:25
第 9場
2025-10-19沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米。由M F Poon策騎、P F Yiu訓練的GRACIOUS EXPRESS勝出。EVERYONE'S STAR獲得亞軍；HAROLD WIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.3倍大熱門BRILLIANT EXPRESS跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS 後段發力 1:20.93 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 14 | 28.0 | — |
| 2 | 3 | EVERYONE'S STAR 後段發力 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | HAROLD WIN 後段發力 C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 2 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | OUTGATE Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | STAR MAC 後段發力 R Kingscote · D A Hayes | R Kingscote | D A Hayes | 7 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS 後段發力 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 4.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SMART AVENUE 後段發力 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 6 | 34.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | GHORGAN A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 93.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | THOUSAND SPIRIT 早段領放 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 77.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FLYING FORTRESS H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 4 | 7.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | NEARLY FINE 後段發力 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 138.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | MASK RIDER M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 44.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | KINGDOM OF RICHES M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 1 | 110.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | RIDING TOGETHER A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 8 | 5.7 | 18-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EVERYONE'S STAR | 25.9% | 3.87 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | RIDING TOGETHER | 14.1% | 7.09 | 14 |
| 3 | 5 | HAROLD WIN | 13.6% | 7.36 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 10.9% | 9.20 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | OUTGATE | 6.2% | 16.06 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | STAR MAC | 5.2% | 19.21 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | FLYING FORTRESS | 4.9% | 20.51 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 4.7% | 21.09 | 1 |
| 9 | 14 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 3.3% | 30.55 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | MASK RIDER | 3.1% | 32.20 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | SMART AVENUE | 2.8% | 35.71 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | NEARLY FINE | 2.8% | 36.09 | 11 |
| 13 | 7 | GHORGAN | 1.6% | 62.11 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | KINGDOM OF RICHES | 1.0% | 103.90 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 280
PLACE
3 20.5
4 69.5
5 18
QUINELLA
3,4 846
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 233.5
3,5 46
4,5 215.5
FORECAST
4,3 2,351
TIERCE
4,3,5 8,807
TRIO
3,4,5 784
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 2,960
QUARTET
4,3,5,9 104,377
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
2,8/3 32.5
2,8/4 685.5