沙田 · 2025-10-19 · 07:45
第 6場
2025-10-19沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米。由E C W Wong策騎、C Fownes訓練的PEJIBAYE勝出。EMBLAZON獲得亞軍；GOOD CHAP獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門PACKING PHOENIX跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PEJIBAYE 1:08.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 4.4 | — |
| 2 | 4 | EMBLAZON C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 6 | 8.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | GOOD CHAP J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 5 | 129.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | AEROVOLANIC C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 12 | 57.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | PACKING PHOENIX Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 1.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | KING ALLOY R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 8 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | PROUD BOX H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 11 | 26.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | KA YING GLORY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | PATCH OF TIME L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | SAVVY WARRIOR A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 3 | 120.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | TOP TO SKY K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 7 | 102.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | GLORIOUS KINGDOM M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 94.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 1 | SPICY STANDARD B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PACKING PHOENIX | 46.2% | 2.16 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | PEJIBAYE | 12.4% | 8.07 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | PATCH OF TIME | 7.8% | 12.85 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | KA YING GLORY | 6.5% | 15.33 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | PROUD BOX | 5.8% | 17.27 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | EMBLAZON | 5.3% | 18.84 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | AEROVOLANIC | 5.0% | 19.85 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | KING ALLOY | 4.2% | 23.96 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | SAVVY WARRIOR | 2.8% | 35.94 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | GLORIOUS KINGDOM | 1.7% | 58.10 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | TOP TO SKY | 1.2% | 84.62 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | GOOD CHAP | 1.1% | 93.36 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 44.5
PLACE
4 19
8 12.5
10 200
QUINELLA
4,8 144
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 38.5
4,10 1,142
8,10 807
FORECAST
8,4 274
TIERCE
8,4,10 30,290
TRIO
4,8,10 6,894
FIRST 4
2,4,8,10 30,363
QUARTET
8,4,10,2 414,468
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,5/4,8,10 966,548
5TH DOUBLE
5/4 64
5/8 323.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,6,8/1,2,5/Any Combination 86,835