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Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 15:11

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:21.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 LUCKY SAM GOR Closed strongly 1:21.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · M Newnham 12 4.9 —
2 2 ALL ROUND WINNER Closed strongly B Avdulla · D A Hayes 2 36.0 1-1/4
3 1 BLAZING WUKONG Closed strongly A Atzeni · P F Yiu 13 3.9 1-3/4
4 7 AUDACIOUS PURSUIT Closed strongly L Ferraris · C Fownes 14 27.0 1-3/4
5 4 AEROINVINCIBLE C Y Ho · P C Ng 11 8.8 2-1/4
6 6 STRANGE ALERT H Bowman · D Eustace 1 5.6 3
7 3 VICTORY CHAMPION Z Purton · F C Lor 4 8.5 4-1/2
8 13 TIME TO FIRE Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 5 92.0 5
9 9 SMART FAT CAT Closed strongly K Teetan · W K Mo 7 7.8 5-1/4
10 14 COLOURFUL WINNER Led early M L Yeung · W Y So 9 12.0 5-1/2
11 8 RAINBOW SEVEN Closed strongly K C Leung · K W Lui 8 28.0 6-1/2
12 11 COME FAST FAY FAY Closed strongly H Bentley · K H Ting 10 58.0 8-1/4
13 10 MULTIDUTCH R Kingscote · A S Cruz 6 149.0 9-1/4
14 12 GOR GOR L Hewitson · J Richards 3 170.0 13-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Class 4 over 1400m. LUCKY SAM GOR, ridden by C L Chau and trained by M Newnham, won, with ALL ROUND WINNER second and BLAZING WUKONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite BLAZING WUKONG finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY SAM GOR—2. ALL ROUND WINNER+1.25L3. BLAZING WUKONG+1.75L4. AUDACIOUS PURSUIT+1.75L5. AEROINVINCIBLE+2.25L6. STRANGE ALERT+3L7. VICTORY CHAMPION+4.5L8. TIME TO FIRE+5L9. SMART FAT CAT+5.25L10. COLOURFUL WINNER+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LUCKY SAM GOR (21.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 LUCKY SAM GOR 21.0% 4.76 1
2 6 STRANGE ALERT 15.8% 6.33 6
3 3 VICTORY CHAMPION 12.5% 8.01 7
4 9 SMART FAT CAT 11.3% 8.88 9
5 1 BLAZING WUKONG 10.0% 10.00 3
6 4 AEROINVINCIBLE 6.2% 16.23 5
7 7 AUDACIOUS PURSUIT 5.5% 18.24 4
8 8 RAINBOW SEVEN 4.3% 23.03 11
9 14 COLOURFUL WINNER 3.7% 27.28 10
10 11 COME FAST FAY FAY 2.5% 39.31 12
11 13 TIME TO FIRE 2.3% 42.69 8
12 2 ALL ROUND WINNER 2.2% 45.38 2
13 10 MULTIDUTCH 1.5% 65.56 13
14 12 GOR GOR 1.2% 84.52 14
LUCKY SAM GOR — wonSTRANGE ALERTVICTORY CHAMPIONSMART FAT CATBLAZING WUKONGAEROINVINCIBLEAUDACIOUS PURSUITRAINBOW SEVENCOLOURFUL WINNERCOME FAST FAY FAYTIME TO FIREALL ROUND WINNERMULTIDUTCHGOR GOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 49.5

PLACE

1 14

2 61.5

5 20.5

QUINELLA

2,5 919

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 200.5

1,5 44

2,5 244

FORECAST

5,2 1,668

TIERCE

5,2,1 9,556

TRIO

1,2,5 619

FIRST 4

1,2,5,7 3,740

QUARTET

5,2,1,7 96,110

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

11/8/2 2,841

11/8/5 4,385

4TH DOUBLE

8/2 574.5

8/5 441