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Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 07:15

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Class 4 over 1400m. LUCKY SAM GOR, ridden by C L Chau and trained by M Newnham, won, with ALL ROUND WINNER second and BLAZING WUKONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite BLAZING WUKONG finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1:21.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 LUCKY SAM GOR Closed strongly 1:21.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · M Newnham 12 4.9 —
2 2 ALL ROUND WINNER Closed strongly B Avdulla · D A Hayes 2 36.0 1-1/4
3 1 BLAZING WUKONG Closed strongly A Atzeni · P F Yiu 13 3.9 1-3/4
4 7 AUDACIOUS PURSUIT Closed strongly L Ferraris · C Fownes 14 27.0 1-3/4
5 4 AEROINVINCIBLE C Y Ho · P C Ng 11 8.8 2-1/4
6 6 STRANGE ALERT H Bowman · D Eustace 1 5.6 3
7 3 VICTORY CHAMPION Z Purton · F C Lor 4 8.5 4-1/2
8 13 TIME TO FIRE Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 5 92.0 5
9 9 SMART FAT CAT Closed strongly K Teetan · W K Mo 7 7.8 5-1/4
10 14 COLOURFUL WINNER Led early M L Yeung · W Y So 9 12.0 5-1/2
11 8 RAINBOW SEVEN Closed strongly K C Leung · K W Lui 8 28.0 6-1/2
12 11 COME FAST FAY FAY Closed strongly H Bentley · K H Ting 10 58.0 8-1/4
13 10 MULTIDUTCH R Kingscote · A S Cruz 6 149.0 9-1/4
14 12 GOR GOR L Hewitson · J Richards 3 170.0 13-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY SAM GOR—2. ALL ROUND WINNER+1.25L3. BLAZING WUKONG+1.75L4. AUDACIOUS PURSUIT+1.75L5. AEROINVINCIBLE+2.25L6. STRANGE ALERT+3L7. VICTORY CHAMPION+4.5L8. TIME TO FIRE+5L9. SMART FAT CAT+5.25L10. COLOURFUL WINNER+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LUCKY SAM GOR (21.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 LUCKY SAM GOR 21.0% 4.76 1
2 6 STRANGE ALERT 15.8% 6.33 6
3 3 VICTORY CHAMPION 12.5% 8.01 7
4 9 SMART FAT CAT 11.3% 8.88 9
5 1 BLAZING WUKONG 10.0% 10.00 3
6 4 AEROINVINCIBLE 6.2% 16.23 5
7 7 AUDACIOUS PURSUIT 5.5% 18.24 4
8 8 RAINBOW SEVEN 4.3% 23.03 11
9 14 COLOURFUL WINNER 3.7% 27.28 10
10 11 COME FAST FAY FAY 2.5% 39.31 12
11 13 TIME TO FIRE 2.3% 42.69 8
12 2 ALL ROUND WINNER 2.2% 45.38 2
13 10 MULTIDUTCH 1.5% 65.56 13
14 12 GOR GOR 1.2% 84.52 14
LUCKY SAM GOR — wonSTRANGE ALERTVICTORY CHAMPIONSMART FAT CATBLAZING WUKONGAEROINVINCIBLEAUDACIOUS PURSUITRAINBOW SEVENCOLOURFUL WINNERCOME FAST FAY FAYTIME TO FIREALL ROUND WINNERMULTIDUTCHGOR GOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 49.5

PLACE

1 14

2 61.5

5 20.5

QUINELLA

2,5 919

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 200.5

1,5 44

2,5 244

FORECAST

5,2 1,668

TIERCE

5,2,1 9,556

TRIO

1,2,5 619

FIRST 4

1,2,5,7 3,740

QUARTET

5,2,1,7 96,110

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

11/8/2 2,841

11/8/5 4,385

4TH DOUBLE

8/2 574.5

8/5 441

← Race 4 Race 6 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99