Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 06:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Class 5 over 1400m. DOUBLE SHOW, ridden by K Teetan and trained by B Crawford, won, with LUCKY BLESSING second and THE CONCENTRATION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite RAGNARR finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | DOUBLE SHOW Closed strongly 1:21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 1 | 13.0 | — |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY BLESSING Led early E C W Wong · W K Mo | E C W Wong | W K Mo | 2 | 7.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | THE CONCENTRATION C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 6 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | RAGNARR Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 3.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | RUN YES RUN Closed strongly M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 5 | 112.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | KA YING POWER Closed strongly A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 32.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | CELESTIAL HARMONY Closed strongly B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 4 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | CONCORDE STAR Closed strongly J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 12 | 169.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | GLORIOUS EXPERT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 9 | 38.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SHINE BRIGHT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 3 | 14.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | RIDING HIGH H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 13 | 6.7 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | TSUEN WAN GLORY P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 11 | 9.9 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | VERBIER L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 8 | 30.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RAGNARR | 16.9% | 5.90 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY BLESSING | 13.1% | 7.66 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 11.4% | 8.79 | 13 |
| 4 | 9 | VIVA CHALEUR | 9.2% | 10.88 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | RIDING HIGH | 8.7% | 11.55 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | SHINE BRIGHT | 7.8% | 12.76 | 11 |
| 7 | 14 | DOUBLE SHOW | 6.8% | 14.60 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 5.7% | 17.63 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | VERBIER | 4.8% | 20.85 | 14 |
| 10 | 13 | KA YING POWER | 4.4% | 22.84 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | THE CONCENTRATION | 4.3% | 23.32 | 3 |
| 12 | 12 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 3.6% | 27.47 | 10 |
| 13 | 8 | RUN YES RUN | 1.7% | 58.32 | 5 |
| 14 | 10 | CONCORDE STAR | 1.6% | 62.96 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 137
PLACE
7 25
11 39
14 38
QUINELLA
7,14 413
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 132
7,14 130
11,14 252.5
FORECAST
14,7 919
TIERCE
14,7,11 10,012
TRIO
7,11,14 1,773
FIRST 4
1,7,11,14 1,136
QUARTET
14,7,11,1 33,902