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Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 12:46

Race 1

Class 5 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:21.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 DOUBLE SHOW Closed strongly 1:21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · B Crawford 1 13.0 —
2 7 LUCKY BLESSING Led early E C W Wong · W K Mo 2 7.0 1-3/4
3 11 THE CONCENTRATION C L Chau · P F Yiu 6 14.0 2-1/2
4 1 RAGNARR Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall 7 3.2 3-3/4
5 8 RUN YES RUN Closed strongly M L Yeung · W Y So 5 112.0 4-1/4
6 13 KA YING POWER Closed strongly A Badel · J Size 14 32.0 4-3/4
7 2 CELESTIAL HARMONY Closed strongly B Avdulla · D A Hayes 4 22.0 5
8 9 VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 6.6 6-1/4
9 10 CONCORDE STAR Closed strongly J Orman · Y S Tsui 12 169.0 7
10 12 GLORIOUS EXPERT H Bentley · K H Ting 9 38.0 7-1/4
11 5 SHINE BRIGHT M Chadwick · C H Yip 3 14.0 9-1/2
12 3 RIDING HIGH H Bowman · D J Whyte 13 6.7 10-1/2
13 4 TSUEN WAN GLORY P N Wong · K L Man 11 9.9 12
14 6 VERBIER L Ferraris · C Fownes 8 30.0 15

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Class 5 over 1400m. DOUBLE SHOW, ridden by K Teetan and trained by B Crawford, won, with LUCKY BLESSING second and THE CONCENTRATION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite RAGNARR finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DOUBLE SHOW—2. LUCKY BLESSING+1.75L3. THE CONCENTRATION+2.5L4. RAGNARR+3.75L5. RUN YES RUN+4.25L6. KA YING POWER+4.75L7. CELESTIAL HARMONY+5L8. VIVA CHALEUR+6.25L9. CONCORDE STAR+7L10. GLORIOUS EXPERT+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick RAGNARR (16.9%) finished 4th — the winner DOUBLE SHOW was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 RAGNARR 16.9% 5.90 4
2 7 LUCKY BLESSING 13.1% 7.66 2
3 4 TSUEN WAN GLORY 11.4% 8.79 13
4 9 VIVA CHALEUR 9.2% 10.88 8
5 3 RIDING HIGH 8.7% 11.55 12
6 5 SHINE BRIGHT 7.8% 12.76 11
7 14 DOUBLE SHOW 6.8% 14.60 1
8 2 CELESTIAL HARMONY 5.7% 17.63 7
9 6 VERBIER 4.8% 20.85 14
10 13 KA YING POWER 4.4% 22.84 6
11 11 THE CONCENTRATION 4.3% 23.32 3
12 12 GLORIOUS EXPERT 3.6% 27.47 10
13 8 RUN YES RUN 1.7% 58.32 5
14 10 CONCORDE STAR 1.6% 62.96 9
RAGNARRLUCKY BLESSINGTSUEN WAN GLORYVIVA CHALEURRIDING HIGHSHINE BRIGHTDOUBLE SHOW — wonCELESTIAL HARMONYVERBIERKA YING POWERTHE CONCENTRATIONGLORIOUS EXPERTRUN YES RUNCONCORDE STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 137

PLACE

7 25

11 39

14 38

QUINELLA

7,14 413

QUINELLA PLACE

7,11 132

7,14 130

11,14 252.5

FORECAST

14,7 919

TIERCE

14,7,11 10,012

TRIO

7,11,14 1,773

FIRST 4

1,7,11,14 1,136

QUARTET

14,7,11,1 33,902