Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 10:00
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Class 3 over 1600m. FORTUNE BOY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won, with POPE CODY second and MAX QUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite BEAUTY BOLT finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly 1:33.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 12.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | POPE CODY Closed strongly J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 2 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | MAX QUE Closed strongly A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 4 | 7.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | BEAUTY BOLT Closed strongly Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SKY VINO Closed strongly E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 11 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | SPIRIT OF PEACE Closed strongly M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 14 | 37.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | MISTER DAPPER B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | YUEN LONG ELITE Led early M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 12 | 5.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | CALIFORNIA WAVES C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 6 | 44.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | WINNING GOLD R Kingscote · W Y So | R Kingscote | W Y So | 3 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | I CAN A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 65.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | MORGAN SUCCESS H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 9.2 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | AWESOME FLUKE L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 8 | 19.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | MASTER TRILLION C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 13 | 25.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY BOLT | 19.7% | 5.06 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | SKY VINO | 13.9% | 7.22 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | MAX QUE | 11.2% | 8.97 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | MISTER DAPPER | 8.6% | 11.58 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | MORGAN SUCCESS | 8.5% | 11.76 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | POPE CODY | 7.1% | 14.09 | 2 |
| 7 | 14 | FORTUNE BOY | 6.3% | 15.84 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | YUEN LONG ELITE | 5.5% | 18.11 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | AWESOME FLUKE | 5.0% | 19.92 | 13 |
| 10 | 13 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 3.6% | 27.59 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | I CAN | 3.2% | 30.94 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | WINNING GOLD | 2.7% | 37.62 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | MASTER TRILLION | 2.6% | 38.84 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 2.1% | 48.32 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 122
PLACE
4 36
10 23
14 32.5
QUINELLA
4,14 697
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 109.5
4,14 195.5
10,14 108
FORECAST
14,4 1,172
TIERCE
14,4,10 5,816
TRIO
4,10,14 1,036
FIRST 4
4,5,10,14 475
QUARTET
14,4,10,5 15,451
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
2,8/4/4 1,972
2,8/4/14 11,092
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,5/4,10,14 73,385
9TH DOUBLE
4/4 360
4/14 2,256
SIX UP
2,5/4,8/6,7/2,6,8/3,4/4,14 7,438
5/8/6/2,8/4/14 366,346
1 [M Newnham] —
2 [C L Chau] —