Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 17:59

Race 10

Class 3 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:33.67
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly 1:33.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes 9 12.0 —
2 4 POPE CODY Closed strongly J Orman · Y S Tsui 2 11.0 N
3 10 MAX QUE Closed strongly A Badel · M Newnham 4 7.4 1/2
4 5 BEAUTY BOLT Closed strongly Z Purton · A S Cruz 10 3.7 3/4
5 12 SKY VINO Closed strongly E C W Wong · C Fownes 11 14.0 3/4
6 13 SPIRIT OF PEACE Closed strongly M Chadwick · J Size 14 37.0 1-3/4
7 8 MISTER DAPPER B Avdulla · D Eustace 1 10.0 2-1/4
8 3 YUEN LONG ELITE Led early M L Yeung · K L Man 12 5.1 3-1/2
9 9 CALIFORNIA WAVES C L Chau · W K Mo 6 44.0 3-3/4
10 2 WINNING GOLD R Kingscote · W Y So 3 41.0 4-1/2
11 6 I CAN A Atzeni · P C Ng 5 65.0 6-1/2
12 7 MORGAN SUCCESS H Bowman · D J Whyte 7 9.2 9-1/2
13 1 AWESOME FLUKE L Ferraris · P F Yiu 8 19.0 10-1/4
14 11 MASTER TRILLION C Y Ho · F C Lor 13 25.0 14-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Class 3 over 1600m. FORTUNE BOY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won, with POPE CODY second and MAX QUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite BEAUTY BOLT finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FORTUNE BOY—2. POPE CODY+0.05L3. MAX QUE+0.5L4. BEAUTY BOLT+0.75L5. SKY VINO+0.75L6. SPIRIT OF PEACE+1.75L7. MISTER DAPPER+2.25L8. YUEN LONG ELITE+3.5L9. CALIFORNIA WAVES+3.75L10. WINNING GOLD+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BEAUTY BOLT (19.7%) finished 4th — the winner FORTUNE BOY was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 BEAUTY BOLT 19.7% 5.06 4
2 12 SKY VINO 13.9% 7.22 5
3 10 MAX QUE 11.2% 8.97 3
4 8 MISTER DAPPER 8.6% 11.58 7
5 7 MORGAN SUCCESS 8.5% 11.76 12
6 4 POPE CODY 7.1% 14.09 2
7 14 FORTUNE BOY 6.3% 15.84 1
8 3 YUEN LONG ELITE 5.5% 18.11 8
9 1 AWESOME FLUKE 5.0% 19.92 13
10 13 SPIRIT OF PEACE 3.6% 27.59 6
11 6 I CAN 3.2% 30.94 11
12 2 WINNING GOLD 2.7% 37.62 10
13 11 MASTER TRILLION 2.6% 38.84 14
14 9 CALIFORNIA WAVES 2.1% 48.32 9
BEAUTY BOLTSKY VINOMAX QUEMISTER DAPPERMORGAN SUCCESSPOPE CODYFORTUNE BOY — wonYUEN LONG ELITEAWESOME FLUKESPIRIT OF PEACEI CANWINNING GOLDMASTER TRILLIONCALIFORNIA WAVES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 122

PLACE

4 36

10 23

14 32.5

QUINELLA

4,14 697

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 109.5

4,14 195.5

10,14 108

FORECAST

14,4 1,172

TIERCE

14,4,10 5,816

TRIO

4,10,14 1,036

FIRST 4

4,5,10,14 475

QUARTET

14,4,10,5 15,451

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

2,8/4/4 1,972

2,8/4/14 11,092

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,5/4,10,14 73,385

9TH DOUBLE

4/4 360

4/14 2,256

SIX UP

2,5/4,8/6,7/2,6,8/3,4/4,14 7,438

5/8/6/2,8/4/14 366,346

1 [M Newnham] —

2 [C L Chau] —