Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 14:26
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly 1:21.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 9 | 6.8 | — |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER LOVE Closed strongly H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 11 | 50.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | THE GOLDEN KNIGHT Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 3 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | AUTUMN VIBES Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 13 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | RATTAN GALAXY Closed strongly M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | WE CAN PARTY Closed strongly E C W Wong · D Eustace | E C W Wong | D Eustace | 7 | 38.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | RUN RUN SMART Led early A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | LUCKY MAN D Probert · D A Hayes | D Probert | D A Hayes | 14 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | BLAZING BEAM K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 4 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | CARRYON SMILING R Kingscote · W Y So | R Kingscote | W Y So | 10 | 45.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | ROMANTIC PARTY H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 1 | 116.0 | 17-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Class 4 over 1400m. THE AUSPICIOUS, ridden by J Orman and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with SUPER LOVE second and THE GOLDEN KNIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite FUN TOGETHER finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER | 24.9% | 4.01 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 17.0% | 5.88 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | AUTUMN VIBES | 15.0% | 6.66 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | RAGING RAPIDS | 9.6% | 10.36 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 7.8% | 12.85 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | LUCKY MAN | 4.3% | 23.18 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | RUN RUN SMART | 4.3% | 23.24 | 10 |
| 8 | 13 | BLAZING BEAM | 3.7% | 27.18 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPER LOVE | 3.6% | 27.96 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | CARRYON SMILING | 2.7% | 36.87 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | RATTAN GALAXY | 2.4% | 41.83 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | THE GOLDEN KNIGHT | 2.1% | 47.04 | 3 |
| 13 | 2 | WE CAN PARTY | 1.5% | 66.43 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | ROMANTIC PARTY | 1.0% | 97.51 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 68
PLACE
4 126.5
6 51.5
8 20
QUINELLA
4,8 1,558.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 1,445.5
4,8 583
6,8 221.5
FORECAST
8,4 3,218
TIERCE
8,4,6 42,125
TRIO
4,6,8 8,207
FIRST 4
1,4,6,8 5,783
QUARTET
8,4,6,1 176,302
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,11,14/F 3,301
3RD DOUBLE
11/4 610
11/8 578.5