Sha Tin · 2025-10-19 · 08:50
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-19 was Class 3 over 1200m. PATCH OF STARS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won, with SKY JOY second and INFINITE RESOLVE third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PATCH OF STARS 1:08.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 1 | 2.0 | — |
| 2 | 6 | SKY JOY C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 10 | 8.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | INFINITE RESOLVE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | STAR RISE M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | HEALTHY HEALTHY H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 9 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 55.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | CHATEAUNEUF H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 5 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | STAR SATYR Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 112.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | COPARTNER FLEET K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 12 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | WOLF COMING R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 11 | 133.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SAVVY BRILLIANT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 8 | 38.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 8 | ALL TOO BRAVE A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PATCH OF STARS | 35.6% | 2.81 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | INFINITE RESOLVE | 19.0% | 5.25 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | SKY JOY | 13.6% | 7.33 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | STAR RISE | 10.6% | 9.43 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | CHATEAUNEUF | 4.1% | 24.10 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 3.8% | 26.37 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY | 3.8% | 26.38 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | COPARTNER FLEET | 3.6% | 28.08 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | SAVVY BRILLIANT | 3.3% | 30.11 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | STAR SATYR | 1.4% | 69.37 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | WOLF COMING | 1.1% | 93.33 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 20
PLACE
2 11.5
4 14.5
6 24.5
QUINELLA
2,6 78
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 20
2,6 32.5
4,6 56
FORECAST
2,6 157
TIERCE
2,6,4 463
TRIO
2,4,6 109
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 66
QUARTET
2,6,4,5 1,272
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,7/6>2,4,8 6,778
7TH DOUBLE
6/2,8 40.5
6/6 22.5