沙田 · 2025-10-26 · 05:20
第 2場
2025-10-26沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米。由J Orman策騎、M Newnham訓練的EVER LUCK勝出。GEORGIAN SIGMA獲得亞軍；MOTOR獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EVER LUCK 1:08.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 14 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 6 | GEORGIAN SIGMA Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 8 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | MOTOR K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 7.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | SPARKLE AND GOLD Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 2 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | ALABAMA SONG B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | WINNING CHAMPION M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 4.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | FOREVER FANCY D Probert · K W Lui | D Probert | K W Lui | 7 | 75.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | JUST FOLLOW ME K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 12 | 9.7 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | MAZING GRACE M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 73.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | FOREST KING C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 3 | 29.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | HYANNIS STAR A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 11 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER MASTERMIND H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 13 | 58.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | DASHING MAURISON R Kingscote · D A Hayes | R Kingscote | D A Hayes | 9 | 35.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | ZHOU GONGJIN K De Melo · B Crawford | K De Melo | B Crawford | 6 | 131.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WINNING CHAMPION | 23.3% | 4.29 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | GEORGIAN SIGMA | 15.1% | 6.61 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | MOTOR | 11.5% | 8.69 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | ALABAMA SONG | 9.4% | 10.67 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | EVER LUCK | 8.3% | 11.99 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | JUST FOLLOW ME | 6.8% | 14.71 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER MASTERMIND | 4.8% | 20.96 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | FOREST KING | 4.1% | 24.35 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | HYANNIS STAR | 3.7% | 27.14 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | DASHING MAURISON | 3.5% | 28.61 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | SPARKLE AND GOLD | 3.2% | 31.56 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | FOREVER FANCY | 2.4% | 41.82 | 7 |
| 13 | 12 | MAZING GRACE | 2.2% | 45.70 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | ZHOU GONGJIN | 1.8% | 57.01 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 28
PLACE
1 21.5
3 13
6 37.5
QUINELLA
3,6 240
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 41.5
1,6 146
3,6 86
FORECAST
3,6 331
TIERCE
3,6,1 2,349
TRIO
1,3,6 510
FIRST 4
1,3,6,14 2,767
QUARTET
3,6,1,14 33,201
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
10/3 998.5
10/6 199.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,10/1,3,6 309,135