沙田 · 2025-10-26 · 08:50
第 8場
2025-10-26沙田第8場，Group 2，途程1200米。由H Bentley策騎、D A Hayes訓練的TOMODACHI KOKOROE勝出。RAGING BLIZZARD獲得亞軍；PACKING HERMOD獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門PACKING HERMOD跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE 1:07.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 5 | 3.9 | — |
| 2 | 6 | RAGING BLIZZARD B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | PACKING HERMOD Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | WUNDERBAR A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 11 | 8.9 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | HELIOS EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 8.2 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | FAST NETWORK A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 12 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | LUCKY WITH YOU L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 4 | 41.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | DIVANO Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 1 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | MAGIC CONTROL K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 6 | 54.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | MUGEN K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 9 | 57.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | BEAUTY WAVES M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 30.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 13 | 56.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 3 | 26.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | INVINCIBLE SAGE M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 14 | 51.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 23.6% | 4.23 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | PACKING HERMOD | 15.1% | 6.63 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | WUNDERBAR | 12.3% | 8.11 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 8.8% | 11.37 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | FAST NETWORK | 6.8% | 14.71 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY WAVES | 6.1% | 16.50 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 4.6% | 21.61 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | DIVANO | 4.4% | 22.76 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 4.0% | 25.27 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 3.9% | 25.88 | 13 |
| 11 | 12 | MUGEN | 2.9% | 34.30 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | MAGIC CONTROL | 2.7% | 36.56 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD | 2.4% | 41.00 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 2.4% | 42.33 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 39.5
PLACE
5 14
6 35.5
13 15.5
QUINELLA
6,13 310
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 71.5
5,13 27.5
6,13 106.5
FORECAST
13,6 516
TIERCE
13,6,5 2,021
TRIO
5,6,13 319
FIRST 4
5,6,8,13 583
QUARTET
13,6,5,8 13,968
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,8/5,6,13 50,080
7TH DOUBLE
7/6 88.5
7/13 342.5