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Sha Tin · 2025-10-26 · 08:50

Race 8

Group 2 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-26 was Group 2 over 1200m. TOMODACHI KOKOROE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D A Hayes, won, with RAGING BLIZZARD second and PACKING HERMOD third. The 2.8 favourite PACKING HERMOD finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1:07.39
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 TOMODACHI KOKOROE 1:07.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D A Hayes 5 3.9
2 6 RAGING BLIZZARD B Avdulla · J Size 7 13.0 1-1/4
3 5 PACKING HERMOD Z Purton · K W Lui 8 2.8 2
4 8 WUNDERBAR A Atzeni · J Size 11 8.9 4
5 1 HELIOS EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size 2 8.2 4
6 4 FAST NETWORK A Badel · C H Yip 12 13.0 4-1/4
7 3 LUCKY WITH YOU L Ferraris · F C Lor 4 41.0 5-1/4
8 9 DIVANO Y L Chung · K W Lui 1 18.0 5-1/2
9 10 MAGIC CONTROL K C Leung · W K Mo 6 54.0 7
10 12 MUGEN K Teetan · P C Ng 9 57.0 8-1/4
11 2 BEAUTY WAVES M Chadwick · A S Cruz 10 30.0 9-3/4
12 14 INVINCIBLE SHIELD M L Yeung · K W Lui 13 56.0 12
13 11 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER E C W Wong · F C Lor 3 26.0 13
14 7 INVINCIBLE SAGE M F Poon · D J Hall 14 51.0 13-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TOMODACHI KOKOROE2. RAGING BLIZZARD+1.25L3. PACKING HERMOD+2L4. WUNDERBAR+4L5. HELIOS EXPRESS+4L6. FAST NETWORK+4.25L7. LUCKY WITH YOU+5.25L8. DIVANO+5.5L9. MAGIC CONTROL+7L10. MUGEN+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick HELIOS EXPRESS (23.6%) finished 5th — the winner TOMODACHI KOKOROE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 HELIOS EXPRESS 23.6% 4.23 5
2 5 PACKING HERMOD 15.1% 6.63 3
3 8 WUNDERBAR 12.3% 8.11 4
4 13 TOMODACHI KOKOROE 8.8% 11.37 1
5 4 FAST NETWORK 6.8% 14.71 6
6 2 BEAUTY WAVES 6.1% 16.50 11
7 6 RAGING BLIZZARD 4.6% 21.61 2
8 9 DIVANO 4.4% 22.76 8
9 3 LUCKY WITH YOU 4.0% 25.27 7
10 11 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER 3.9% 25.88 13
11 12 MUGEN 2.9% 34.30 10
12 10 MAGIC CONTROL 2.7% 36.56 9
13 14 INVINCIBLE SHIELD 2.4% 41.00 12
14 7 INVINCIBLE SAGE 2.4% 42.33 14
HELIOS EXPRESSPACKING HERMODWUNDERBARTOMODACHI KOKOROE — wonFAST NETWORKBEAUTY WAVESRAGING BLIZZARDDIVANOLUCKY WITH YOUBOTTOMUPTOGETHERMUGENMAGIC CONTROLINVINCIBLE SHIELDINVINCIBLE SAGE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 39.5

PLACE

5 14

6 35.5

13 15.5

QUINELLA

6,13 310

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 71.5

5,13 27.5

6,13 106.5

FORECAST

13,6 516

TIERCE

13,6,5 2,021

TRIO

5,6,13 319

FIRST 4

5,6,8,13 583

QUARTET

13,6,5,8 13,968

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,7,8/5,6,13 50,080

7TH DOUBLE

7/6 88.5

7/13 342.5