Sha Tin · 2025-10-26 · 06:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-26 was Class 5 over 1800m. ON THE LASH, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by P C Ng, won, with COOL BLUE second and CELESTIAL HARMONY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite YIU CHEUNG VICTORY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ON THE LASH Closed strongly 1:47.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 10 | 10.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | COOL BLUE Closed strongly R Kingscote · W Y So | R Kingscote | W Y So | 1 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | CELESTIAL HARMONY P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 9 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY Closed strongly Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 2 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 13 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | SMASHING EXPRESS J Orman · J Size | J Orman | J Size | 5 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | MR ALADDIN Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 12 | 5.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | GO GO GO D Probert · W Y So | D Probert | W Y So | 3 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 8 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | PHANTOM CYCLONE C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 7 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | GOLDEN FAIRY E C W Wong · W Y So | E C W Wong | W Y So | 4 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | SMART BEAUTY Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 31.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | FUNG Led early H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 80.0 | 33-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MR ALADDIN | 15.2% | 6.60 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | GOLD TACK | 11.8% | 8.49 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 11.7% | 8.53 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 9.8% | 10.20 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 9.2% | 10.88 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 7.8% | 12.81 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | GO GO GO | 6.8% | 14.74 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | STRONGEST BOY | 6.7% | 14.84 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | COOL BLUE | 5.9% | 16.94 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | SMART BEAUTY | 4.8% | 20.87 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | ON THE LASH | 4.8% | 20.89 | 1 |
| 12 | 4 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 3.6% | 28.11 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | FUNG | 2.0% | 50.60 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 105.5
PLACE
2 36.5
9 34.5
10 38.5
QUINELLA
9,10 547.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 192
2,10 192
9,10 197
FORECAST
10,9 1,156
TIERCE
10,9,2 14,869
TRIO
2,9,10 2,555
FIRST 4
1,2,9,10 3,689
QUARTET
10,9,2,1 118,217